Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Seravezza Pozzi vs Sangiovannese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Lepri L.
82' Event
Bedini B.
86' Event
Nieri M.

AI Match Summary

Seravezza Pozzi in this Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Seravezza Pozzi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Seravezza Pozzi
30%
Draws
12%
Sangiovannese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Seravezza Pozzi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Sangiovannese haven't matched Seravezza Pozzi's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Seravezza Pozzi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Seravezza Pozzi Clean Sheet 68%
Sangiovannese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seravezza Pozzi Sangiovannese
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 14 9
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.41 1
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Sangiovannese
2:1
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Seravezza Pozzi
0:1
Mar 28, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Sangiovannese
1:4
Nov 19, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Seravezza Pozzi
0:2
Apr 23, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Seravezza Pozzi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Seravezza Pozzi Compare

Top Goalscorer Lepri L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bedini B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sangiovannese Compare

Top Goalscorer Nieri M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seravezza Pozzi 95 / 100
Sangiovannese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seravezza Pozzi Sangiovannese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Seravezza Pozzi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Seravezza Pozzi scored in 81% of their last 37 outings.

Defensive concern: Sangiovannese conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Seravezza Pozzi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Seravezza Pozzi VS Sangiovannese
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Seravezza Pozzi

(Home)
27 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
3 : 0
Terranuova Traiana
20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3
Seravezza Pozzi
16 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 1
Montevarchi
12 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
5 : 0
Lucchese
06 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
Page 1 of 8

Sangiovannese

(Away)
26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3
Scandicci
09 Aug
Sangiovannese
0 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
04 May
Sangiovannese
0 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
27 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 0
Sangiovannese
17 Apr
Sangiovannese
2 : 2
Livorno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Livorno 34 21 9 4 74:44 72
2 Fulgens Foligno 34 17 9 8 61:44 60
3 Seravezza Pozzi 34 16 11 7 53:39 59
4 Ghiviborgo 34 17 4 13 65:57 55
5 Orvietana 34 15 8 11 44:41 53
6 Siena 34 14 10 10 35:32 52
7 Grosseto 34 13 11 10 39:34 50
8 Ostiamare 34 12 9 13 49:53 45
9 Poggibonsi 34 12 7 15 32:36 43
10 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 10 13 26:26 43
11 Montevarchi 34 9 14 11 36:39 41
12 Flaminia 34 10 10 14 42:43 40
13 Follonica Gavorrano 34 10 10 14 40:45 40
14 Terranuova Traiana 34 8 15 11 34:47 39
15 Figline 34 9 11 14 29:33 38
16 Sporting Trestina 34 9 11 14 35:45 38
17 Sangiovannese 34 9 9 16 30:38 36
18 Fezzanese 34 6 8 20 35:63 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)