Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Seravezza Pozzi vs Siena

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Lipari M.
29' Event
Conti A.
46' Event
Lipari M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E game between Seravezza Pozzi and Siena finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Seravezza Pozzi
33%
Draws
40%
Siena
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Siena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Siena's 2.88 goals per match outpaces what Seravezza Pozzi have produced (0.88).
  • Win probability leans Siena's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Seravezza Pozzi Clean Sheet 10%
Siena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seravezza Pozzi Siena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 12 8
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 0.88 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Siena
1:4
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Seravezza Pozzi
0:2
Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Siena
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Seravezza Pozzi
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Seravezza Pozzi Compare

Top Goalscorer Tognoni M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Siena Compare

Top Goalscorer Lipari M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Conti A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seravezza Pozzi 26 / 100
Siena 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seravezza Pozzi Siena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Seravezza Pozzi's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Siena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Seravezza Pozzi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Seravezza Pozzi VS Siena
0.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Seravezza Pozzi

(Home)
17 May
Prato
1 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
10 May
Tau
0 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
03 May
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
26 Apr
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 0
Foligno
19 Apr
Ghiviborgo
1 : 0
Seravezza Pozzi
Page 1 of 6

Siena

(Away)
10 May
Prato
3 : 1
Siena
03 May
Siena
4 : 4
Sporting Trestina
26 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
2 : 5
Siena
19 Apr
Siena
0 : 0
Montevarchi
12 Apr
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 4
Siena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosseto34226658:2572
2Tau34189753:3363
3Prato34205949:2963
4Siena34179857:3560
5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:2957
6Terranuova Traiana341491128:3051
7Foligno341491145:3751
8Scandicci341115839:3248
9Montevarchi341016828:3246
10Sporting Trestina3410121240:4242
11San Donato Tavarnelle349131230:3540
12Ghiviborgo3410101442:4440
13Orvietana349111433:3738
14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:4937
15Camaiore Calcio34981741:5435
16Poggibonsi347101729:4631
17Cannara34682024:5926
18Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro342161620:4622
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)