Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Seravezza Pozzi vs Siena

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Lipari M.
29' Event
Conti A.
46' Event
Lipari M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 game between Seravezza Pozzi and Siena finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Seravezza Pozzi
35%
Draws
40%
Siena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Siena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Siena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Seravezza Pozzi's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Seravezza Pozzi Clean Sheet 16%
Siena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seravezza Pozzi Siena
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 12 7
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.29 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Siena
1:4
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Seravezza Pozzi
0:2
Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Siena
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Seravezza Pozzi
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Seravezza Pozzi Compare

Top Goalscorer Tognoni M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Siena Compare

Top Goalscorer Lipari M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Conti A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seravezza Pozzi 41 / 100
Siena 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seravezza Pozzi Siena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Seravezza Pozzi's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Siena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Seravezza Pozzi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Seravezza Pozzi VS Siena
1.63 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Seravezza Pozzi

(Home)
16 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 1
Montevarchi
12 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
5 : 0
Lucchese
06 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
21 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 1
Scandicci
14 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 0
Pistoiese
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Siena

(Away)
16 Sept
Tau
3 : 2
Siena
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Mezzolara
06 Sept
Scandicci
1 : 1
Siena
23 Aug
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1
Siena
22 Aug
Pistoiese
0 : 1
Siena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosseto 34 22 6 6 58:25 72
2 Tau 34 18 9 7 53:33 63
3 Prato 34 20 5 9 49:29 63
4 Siena 34 17 9 8 57:35 60
5 Seravezza Pozzi 34 15 12 7 42:29 57
6 Terranuova Traiana 34 14 9 11 28:30 51
7 Foligno 34 14 9 11 45:37 51
8 Scandicci 34 11 15 8 39:32 48
9 Montevarchi 34 10 16 8 28:32 46
10 Sporting Trestina 34 10 12 12 40:42 42
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 9 13 12 30:35 40
12 Ghiviborgo 34 10 10 14 42:44 40
13 Orvietana 34 9 11 14 33:37 38
14 Follonica Gavorrano 34 9 10 15 36:49 37
15 Camaiore Calcio 34 9 8 17 41:54 35
16 Poggibonsi 34 7 10 17 29:46 31
17 Cannara 34 6 8 20 24:59 26
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 2 16 16 20:46 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)