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Serbia U19 vs Belgium U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2025 Sportsko-Rekreativni Centar Mladost
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Serbia U19 play Belgium U19 in the Euro U19 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Serbia U19 averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Belgium U19 averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, Serbia U19 won 0, Belgium U19 won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 22, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Serbia U19 and 1.38 for Belgium U19. This points to a Belgium U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Serbia U19
35%
Draws
33%
Belgium U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Belgium U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Serbia U19 picked up more points recently compared to Belgium U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Serbia U19 Clean Sheet 17%
Belgium U19 Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serbia U19 Belgium U19
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 10
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.94 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 Euro U19
Serbia U19 vs Belgium U19
1:1
Mar 23, 2019 Euro U19
Serbia U19 vs Belgium U19
0:2
Sep 5, 2013 Friendly International
Serbia U19 vs Belgium U19
2:2
Mar 25, 2013 Friendly International
Belgium U19 vs Serbia U19
0:0
Mar 23, 2013 Friendly International
Belgium U19 vs Serbia U19
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serbia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jovanovic L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Belgium U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Musuayi Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serbia U19 32 / 100
Belgium U19 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serbia U19 Belgium U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Belgium U19 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Serbia U19 attacking → ← attacking Belgium U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serbia U19 scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Belgium U19 let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Serbia U19 went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Belgium U19 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 46
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Denmark U1933005:19
2Austria U1932017:46
3Hungary U1931022:43
4Iceland U1930031:60
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Montenegro U1932105:27
2Poland U1932015:16
3Georgia U1931023:63
4Slovakia U1930121:51
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Netherlands U1932106:17
2Czech Republic U1932013:46
3Luxembourg U1931112:34
4Croatia U1930032:50
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Norway U1933006:29
2Serbia U1931115:54
3Belgium U1931114:54
4Israel U1930035:80
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain U1932108:47
2Italy U1931205:35
3France U1931023:53
4Latvia U1930123:71
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Germany U1933005:19
2Slovenia U1931113:44
3Finland U1931025:43
4Ireland U1930121:51
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1England U1932103:07
2Portugal U1931113:34
3Wales U1931023:43
4Turkey U1930213:52