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Stadium Background

Serbia U21 vs USA U21

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Vlahovic V.
Assist: Mijatovic J.
55'
Petkovic M.
62'
Valenzuela G.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Serbia U21 and USA U21 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serbia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Serbia U21
15%
Draws
35%
USA U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Serbia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Serbia U21 come out ahead of USA U21 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Serbia U21 Clean Sheet 68%
USA U21 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serbia U21 USA U21
Matches Played 28 7
Wins 12 4
Draws 7 1
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 1.32 2
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Friendly International
Serbia U21 vs USA U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serbia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vlahovic V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

USA U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.44
Avg xA / game 0.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serbia U21 41 / 100
USA U21 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serbia U21 USA U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serbia U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Serbia U21 scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

USA U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 7 matches.

Serbia U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Serbia U21 VS USA U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1.67
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.83
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Serbia U21

(Home)
25 Sept
Serbia U21
3 : 0
Iraq U23
30 Mar
Kyrgyzstan U23
0 : 2
Serbia U21
26 Mar
Kyrgyzstan U23
2 : 2
Serbia U21
18 Nov
Serbia U21
1 : 0
USA U21
14 Nov
Czech Republic U21
1 : 2
Serbia U21
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USA U21

(Away)
08 Jun
USA U21
0 : 1
Uzbekistan U23
05 Jun
USA U21
3 : 1
Ukraine U21
31 Mar
South Korea U23
1 : 4
USA U21
27 Mar
Japan U21
0 : 2
USA U21
18 Nov
Serbia U21
1 : 0
USA U21
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