Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Serbia vs Andorra

World World

World Championship 2026 Stadion Dubočica
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Serbia play Andorra in the World Championship 2026. Serbia are favorites here. Recently, Serbia averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Andorra averaged 0.27 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Serbia won 2, Andorra won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 14, 2025 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Serbia and 1.06 for Andorra. This points to a Serbia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Serbia
22%
Draws
13%
Andorra
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Serbia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Serbia picked up more points recently compared to Andorra.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23%
Serbia Clean Sheet 22%
Andorra Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serbia Andorra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 2
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 23
Goals Scored 0.97 0.27
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 World Championship
Andorra vs Serbia
1:3
Jun 10, 2025 World Championship
Serbia vs Andorra
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serbia Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitrovic A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Andorra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serbia 63 / 100
Andorra 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serbia Andorra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serbia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Serbia & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.7%
1.75
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Serbia attacking → ← attacking Andorra

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serbia scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Andorra let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Serbia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Andorra lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 11
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Germany650116:315
2Slovakia64026:812
3Northern Ireland63037:69
4Luxembourg60061:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Switzerland642014:214
2Kosovo63216:511
3Slovenia60423:84
4Sweden60244:122
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Scotland641113:713
2Denmark632116:711
3Greece621310:127
4Belarus60244:172
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1France651016:416
2Ukraine631210:1110
3Iceland621313:117
4Azerbaijan60153:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain651021:216
2Turkey641117:1213
3Georgia61057:153
4Bulgaria61053:193
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portugal641120:713
2Ireland63129:710
3Hungary622211:108
4Armenia61053:193
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Netherlands862027:420
2Poland852114:717
3Finland83148:1410
4Malta81254:195
5Lithuania80356:153
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Austria861122:419
2Bosnia & Herzegovina852117:717
3Romania841319:1013
4Cyprus822411:118
5San Marino80082:390
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Norway880037:524
2Italy860221:1218
3Israel840419:2012
4Estonia81168:214
5Moldova80175:321
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Belgium853029:718
2Wales851221:1116
3North Macedonia834113:1013
4Kazakhstan82249:138
5Liechtenstein80080:310
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1England880022:024
2Albania84227:514
3Serbia84139:1013
4Latvia81255:155
5Andorra80173:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Croatia871026:422
2Czech Republic851218:816
3Faroe Islands840411:912
4Montenegro83058:179
5Gibraltar80083:280