Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Serbia vs Denmark

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Stadion Dubočica, Leskovac
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Dolberg K.
26'
Terzic A.
41'
Milenkovic N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Serbia
6%
Draws
90%
Denmark
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Denmark

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Denmark have won more games recently than Serbia.
  • Win probability leans Denmark's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Serbia Clean Sheet 10%
Denmark Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serbia Denmark
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.75 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Serbia vs Denmark
0:0
Sep 8, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Denmark vs Serbia
2:0
Jun 25, 2024 Euro
Denmark vs Serbia
0:0
Mar 29, 2022 Friendly International
Denmark vs Serbia
3:0
Jun 13, 2015 Euro
Denmark vs Serbia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serbia 10 / 100
Denmark 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serbia Denmark

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Serbia scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Denmark conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Serbia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Serbia VS Denmark
0.75 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Serbia

(Home)
05 Jun
Mexico
5 : 1
Serbia
31 May
Cape Verde
3 : 0
Serbia
31 Mar
Serbia
2 : 1
Saudi Arabia
27 Mar
Spain
3 : 0
Serbia
16 Nov
Serbia
2 : 1
Latvia
Page 1 of 6

Denmark

(Away)
07 Jun
Denmark
2 : 1
Ukraine
03 Jun
D.R. Congo
0 : 0
Denmark
31 Mar
Czech Republic
3 : 2
Denmark
26 Mar
Denmark
4 : 0
North Macedonia
18 Nov
Scotland
4 : 2
Denmark
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal642013:514
2Croatia62228:88
3Scotland62137:87
4Poland61149:164
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France641112:613
2Italy641113:813
3Belgium61146:94
4Israel61145:134
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany642018:414
2Netherlands623113:79
3Hungary61324:116
4Bosnia & Herzegovina60244:172
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain651013:416
2Denmark62227:58
3Serbia61323:66
4Switzerland60246:142
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League B)