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Serbia vs Germany - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Serbia host Germany in the UEFA Nations League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Serbia have averaged 0.9 scored and 1.37 conceded recently, against Germany's 2.22 scored and 0.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Serbia have won 1 to Germany's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 1, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 2.63) point toward Germany. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Serbia
20%
Draws
80%
Germany
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Germany

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Germany lately — more wins on the board than Serbia.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Germany taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Serbia Clean Sheet 10%
Germany Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serbia Germany
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 19
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.9 2.22
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Germany vs Serbia
2:0
Mar 20, 2019 Friendly International
Germany vs Serbia
1:1
Jun 18, 2010 World Championship
Germany vs Serbia
0:1
May 31, 2008 Friendly International
Germany vs Serbia
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serbia 10 / 100
Germany 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serbia Germany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Germany Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germany's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Serbia scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Germany lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serbia VS Germany
0.75 Goals Scored 2.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Serbia

(Home)
04 Oct
Netherlands
2 : 1
Serbia
01 Oct
Germany
2 : 0
Serbia
27 Sept
Serbia
1 : 2
Netherlands
24 Sept
Serbia
1 : 2
Greece
05 Jun
Mexico
5 : 1
Serbia
Page 1 of 6

Germany

(Away)
04 Oct
Greece
0 : 0
Germany
01 Oct
Germany
2 : 0
Serbia
27 Sept
Germany
0 : 1
Greece
24 Sept
Netherlands
1 : 1
Germany
29 Jun
Germany
1 : 2
Paraguay
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)