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Serbia vs Greece - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Stadion Rajko Mitić, Belgrade
Serbia Logo

Serbia

1 - 2
FT
Greece Logo

Greece

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Zivkovic A.
Assist: Tadic D.
46'
Sub
Cvetkovic M. In: Lukic S.
Out: Cvetkovic M.
63'
Tadic D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Greece in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Greece.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Serbia
20%
Draws
80%
Greece
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Greece

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Greece lately — more wins on the board than Serbia.
  • Greece are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Greece here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Serbia Clean Sheet 15%
Greece Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serbia Greece
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.43 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Serbia vs Greece
1:2
Nov 18, 2014 Friendly International
Greece vs Serbia
0:2
Aug 11, 2010 Friendly International
Serbia vs Greece
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serbia Compare

Top Goalscorer Zivkovic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Greece Compare

Top Goalscorer Tzolis C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Douvikas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serbia 10 / 100
Greece 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serbia Greece

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Greece Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Serbia found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Greece's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Greece's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Serbia VS Greece
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Serbia

(Home)
04 Oct
Netherlands
2 : 1
Serbia
01 Oct
Germany
2 : 0
Serbia
27 Sept
Serbia
1 : 2
Netherlands
24 Sept
Serbia
1 : 2
Greece
05 Jun
Mexico
5 : 1
Serbia
Page 1 of 6

Greece

(Away)
04 Oct
Greece
0 : 0
Germany
01 Oct
Greece
2 : 2
Netherlands
27 Sept
Germany
0 : 1
Greece
24 Sept
Serbia
1 : 2
Greece
07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1
Italy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)