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Seregno Calcio vs Ciserano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 game between Seregno Calcio and Ciserano finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciserano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Seregno Calcio
20%
Draws
30%
Ciserano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Seregno Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Seregno Calcio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Seregno Calcio's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ciserano have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Seregno Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Ciserano Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seregno Calcio Ciserano
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.06 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Seregno Calcio
2:1
Dec 16, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Seregno Calcio vs Ciserano
0:2
Feb 19, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Seregno Calcio vs Ciserano
0:1
Oct 16, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Seregno Calcio
3:2
Mar 20, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Seregno Calcio vs Ciserano
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seregno Calcio 67 / 100
Ciserano 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seregno Calcio Ciserano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Seregno Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciserano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Seregno Calcio's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Seregno Calcio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Seregno Calcio VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Seregno Calcio

(Home)
14 May
Seregno Calcio
0 : 0
Breno
07 May
Desenzano Calvina
5 : 2
Seregno Calcio
30 Apr
Seregno Calcio
0 : 1
Breno
23 Apr
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Seregno Calcio
16 Apr
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1
Sona
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Ciserano

(Away)
05 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 2
Ciserano
28 Apr
Ciserano
2 : 1
Seregno Calcio
18 Apr
Scanzorosciate
3 : 0
Ciserano
13 Apr
Ciserano
0 : 3
Rezzato
07 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 0
Ciserano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como 34 28 5 1 68:18 89
2 Mantova 34 26 5 3 73:27 83
3 Pro Sesto 34 21 6 7 61:42 69
4 Rezzato 34 20 5 9 53:36 65
5 Caronnese 34 17 8 9 57:41 59
6 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 12 11 34:41 45
7 Sondrio 34 11 11 12 38:39 44
8 Seregno Calcio 34 11 10 13 37:42 43
9 Villa Valle 34 10 11 13 35:35 41
10 Caravaggio 34 10 10 14 45:53 40
11 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 7 16 51:52 40
12 Scanzorosciate 34 9 12 13 35:37 39
13 Legnago Salus 34 10 8 16 38:57 38
14 Darfo Boario 34 8 11 15 26:46 35
15 Ambrosiana 34 9 6 19 45:62 33
16 Villafranca 34 6 13 15 36:44 31
17 Ciserano 34 6 8 20 42:68 26
18 Olginatese 34 3 10 21 26:60 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2018/2019 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 (Play Offs)