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Seregno Calcio vs Varese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2017/2018
Seregno Calcio Logo

Seregno Calcio

2 - 1
FT
Varese Logo

Varese

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Seregno Calcio in this Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Seregno Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Seregno Calcio
30%
Draws
31%
Varese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Seregno Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Seregno Calcio lately — more wins on the board than Varese.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Seregno Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Varese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seregno Calcio Varese
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 10 15
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.09 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Seregno Calcio vs Varese
2:1
Nov 26, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Varese vs Seregno Calcio
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seregno Calcio 36 / 100
Varese 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seregno Calcio Varese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Seregno Calcio scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Varese let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Seregno Calcio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Seregno Calcio VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Seregno Calcio

(Home)
14 May
Seregno Calcio
0 : 0
Breno
07 May
Desenzano Calvina
5 : 2
Seregno Calcio
30 Apr
Seregno Calcio
0 : 1
Breno
23 Apr
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Seregno Calcio
16 Apr
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1
Sona
Page 1 of 7

Varese

(Away)
13 May
OltrepoVoghera
2 : 0
Varese
06 May
Varesina
2 : 1
Varese
29 Apr
Varese
1 : 1
AC Chieri
22 Apr
Varese
2 : 0
Castellazzo
15 Apr
Seregno Calcio
2 : 1
Varese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gozzano 38 25 7 6 68:25 82
2 Como 38 25 6 7 58:27 81
3 Caronnese 38 21 11 6 62:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 19 14 5 64:37 71
5 Pro Sesto 38 20 7 11 69:43 67
6 Folgore Caratese 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
7 Inveruno 38 14 10 14 44:48 52
8 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 9 15 40:39 51
9 Arconatese 38 14 8 16 37:46 50
10 Bra 38 13 10 15 45:51 49
11 Pavia 38 12 11 15 53:58 47
12 Borgaro 38 11 13 14 35:44 46
13 Olginatese 38 9 18 11 37:44 45
14 Seregno Calcio 38 10 14 14 45:54 44
15 OltrepoVoghera 38 9 16 13 34:47 43
16 Casale 38 10 12 16 41:48 42
17 Varesina 38 10 11 17 33:45 41
18 Varese 38 8 16 14 47:49 40
19 Calcio Derthona 38 5 11 22 25:62 26
20 Castellazzo 38 3 10 25 32:78 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)