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Sergipe U20 vs Atletico Gloriense U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano U20
Wed, Sep 23, 2026
3 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sergipe U20 host Atletico Gloriense U20 in the Sergipano U20. Sergipe U20 go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Sergipe U20 at 2.1 goals for, 1.62 against; Atletico Gloriense U20 at 0.88 for, 2.88 against. Past meetings favor Sergipe U20 slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 23, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (2.25 - 1.63) back Sergipe U20 to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sergipe U20
15%
Draws
0%
Atletico Gloriense U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sergipe U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sergipe U20 have won more games recently than Atletico Gloriense U20.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Sergipe U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Sergipe U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Atletico Gloriense U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sergipe U20 Atletico Gloriense U20
Matches Played 29 17
Wins 18 2
Draws 2 3
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Sergipano U20
Sergipe U20 vs Atletico Gloriense U20
3:0
Jun 1, 2024 Sergipano U20
Sergipe U20 vs Atletico Gloriense U20
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sergipe U20 84 / 100
Atletico Gloriense U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sergipe U20 Atletico Gloriense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sergipe U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sergipe U20 scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Atletico Gloriense U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 17 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Atletico Gloriense U20's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sergipe U20 VS Atletico Gloriense U20
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sergipe U20

(Home)
07 Oct
Nautico U20
6 : 2
Sergipe U20
30 Sept
Confianca U20
1 : 2
Sergipe U20
26 Sept
Sergipe U20
1 : 0
Lagarto U20
23 Sept
Sergipe U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
19 Sept
Desportiva Aracaju U20
3 : 1
Sergipe U20
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Atletico Gloriense U20

(Away)
30 Sept
Falcon U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
26 Sept
Atletico Gloriense U20
0 : 3
Confianca U20
23 Sept
Sergipe U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
19 Sept
Lagarto U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
12 Sept
Atletico Gloriense U20
0 : 3
Desportiva Aracaju U20
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcon U20 7 6 1 0 19:2 19
2 Itabaiana U20 7 4 2 1 17:13 14
3 Desportiva Aracaju U20 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
4 Sergipe U20 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
5 Guarany SE U20 7 2 3 2 12:12 9
6 Confianca U20 7 2 1 4 8:10 7
7 Lagarto U20 7 1 3 3 7:8 6
8 Atletico Gloriense U20 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano U20 (Play Offs)