Sport Picks
Match Events
29'
29'
Vinicius Alves
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASA
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sergipe have managed 1.27 goals a game lately — ASA are scoring more at 1.4.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor ASA, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Sergipe Clean Sheet 18%
ASA Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sergipe | ASA |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.67 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 27, 2026 Serie D
Sergipe vs ASA
0:1
Jun 21, 2026 Serie D
ASA vs Sergipe
1:1
Jul 5, 2025 Serie D
ASA vs Sergipe
2:2
May 10, 2025 Serie D
Sergipe vs ASA
1:2
Jan 4, 2025 Copa do Nordeste
Sergipe vs ASA
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sergipe Compare
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34
ASA Compare
Top Goalscorer Vinicius Alves
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sergipe 32 / 100
ASA 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sergipe ASA
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ASA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sergipe found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
ASA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Sergipe stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sergipe VS ASA
0.83 Goals Scored 1.38
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.5
67% Over 1.5 63%
17% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sergipe
(Home) 27 Jun
Sergipe
0 : 1 ASA
21 Jun
ASA
1 : 1 Sergipe
14 Jun
Sergipe
1 : 1 Serra Branca
31 May
Decisao
3 : 2 Sergipe
23 May
Sergipe
0 : 1 Treze PB
Page 1 of 6
27 Jun
Sergipe
0 : 1 ASA
14 Jun
Sergipe
1 : 1 Serra Branca
23 May
Sergipe
0 : 1 Treze PB
09 May
Sergipe
1 : 0 Retro
25 Apr
Sergipe
3 : 1 Lagarto
Page 1 of 3
ASA
(Away) 13 Sept
Uberlandia
1 : 1 ASA
06 Sept
ASA
0 : 2 Uberlandia
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0 ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0 Gama
16 Aug
ASA
2 : 1 Goiatuba EC
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Uberlandia
1 : 1 ASA
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0 ASA
08 Aug
Goiatuba EC
0 : 0 ASA
18 Jul
Cianorte
0 : 1 ASA
06 Jul
Ivinhema
1 : 2 ASA
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3
