Sport Picks
Match Events
29'
29'
Vinicius Alves
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with ASA advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- ASA haven't matched Sergipe's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Sergipe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor ASA, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Sergipe Clean Sheet 22%
ASA Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sergipe | ASA |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 27, 2026 Serie D
Sergipe vs ASA
0:1
Jun 21, 2026 Serie D
ASA vs Sergipe
1:1
Jul 5, 2025 Serie D
ASA vs Sergipe
2:2
May 10, 2025 Serie D
Sergipe vs ASA
1:2
Jan 4, 2025 Copa do Nordeste
Sergipe vs ASA
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sergipe Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
ASA Compare
Top Goalscorer Vinicius Alves
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sergipe 32 / 100
ASA 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sergipe ASA
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ASA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sergipe found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
ASA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Sergipe stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sergipe VS ASA
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sergipe
(Home) 27 Jun
Sergipe
0 : 1 ASA
21 Jun
ASA
1 : 1 Sergipe
14 Jun
Sergipe
1 : 1 Serra Branca
31 May
Decisao
3 : 2 Sergipe
23 May
Sergipe
0 : 1 Treze PB
Page 1 of 7
27 Jun
Sergipe
0 : 1 ASA
14 Jun
Sergipe
1 : 1 Serra Branca
23 May
Sergipe
0 : 1 Treze PB
09 May
Sergipe
1 : 0 Retro
25 Apr
Sergipe
3 : 1 Lagarto
Page 1 of 4
ASA
(Away) 26 Jul
ASA
5 : 1 Cianorte
18 Jul
Cianorte
0 : 1 ASA
12 Jul
ASA
4 : 0 Ivinhema
06 Jul
Ivinhema
1 : 2 ASA
27 Jun
Sergipe
0 : 1 ASA
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Cianorte
0 : 1 ASA
06 Jul
Ivinhema
1 : 2 ASA
27 Jun
Sergipe
0 : 1 ASA
14 Jun
Jacuipense
1 : 1 ASA
23 May
CSA
1 : 1 ASA
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube1
Manauara3
Brasiliense0
Goiatuba EC1
Imperatriz2
Maracana1
Central SC1
Ferroviario3
America RJ1
Piracicaba3
Sao Joseense1
Cianorte2
ASA2
Sergipe1
Ivinhema4
Democrata GV2
Portuguesa RJ4
Noroeste2
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Santa Catarina2
Jacuipense1
Treze PB3
CRAC1
Tombense0
Fluminense-PI0
America RN4
Sampaio Correa2
Trem3
Sao Raimundo RR2
Porto Velho3
Mixto1
Gama3
Araguaina0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Aparecidense1
Capital5
Tuna Luso2
Iguatu3
Maguary2
Piaui1
Monte Roraima3
Guapore4
Ceilandia2
Luverdense3
Parnahyba2
Aguia De Maraba3
AE Altos1
ABC2
Serra Branca3
Juazeirense0
Rio Branco ES2
Uberlandia4
Sampaio Correa FE1
Portuguesa2
FC Cascavel3
Marcilio Dias4
Sao Luiz3
Blumenau2
Velo Clube2
Agua Santa1
Lagarto1
CSA3
Vitoria ES1
Betim FC2
1/16-finals
Manauara2
Goiatuba EC3
Imperatriz1
Ferroviario4
Piracicaba0
Cianorte4
ASA6
Ivinhema1
Portuguesa RJ0
EC Sao Jose (PA)1
Treze PB3
CRAC2
America RN6
Trem2
Porto Velho2
Gama3
Nacional-AM (Manaus)2
Capital1
Iguatu5
Maguary3
Guapore0
Luverdense1
Aguia De Maraba2
ABC4
Serra Branca2
Uberlandia3
Portuguesa3
Marcilio Dias1
Sao Luiz4
Velo Clube3
CSA4
Betim FC1
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC5
Ferroviario1
Cianorte1
ASA6
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Treze PB2
America RN3
Gama4
Nacional-AM (Manaus)3
Iguatu2
Luverdense1
ABC4
Uberlandia2
Portuguesa1
Sao Luiz1
CSA2
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC-
ASA-
EC Sao Jose (PA)-
Gama-
Nacional-AM (Manaus)-
ABC-
Uberlandia-
CSA-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
