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Serhat Ardahanspor vs Bayburt Ozel Idare

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Serhat Ardahanspor play Bayburt Ozel Idare in the Turkish Cup 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Serhat Ardahanspor averaged 0.7 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Bayburt Ozel Idare averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Serhat Ardahanspor won 1, Bayburt Ozel Idare won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 11, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Serhat Ardahanspor and 2.56 for Bayburt Ozel Idare. This points to a Bayburt Ozel Idare double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Serhat Ardahanspor
26%
Draws
44%
Bayburt Ozel Idare
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Bayburt Ozel Idare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Serhat Ardahanspor picked up more points recently compared to Bayburt Ozel Idare.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 2.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Serhat Ardahanspor Clean Sheet 10%
Bayburt Ozel Idare Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serhat Ardahanspor Bayburt Ozel Idare
Matches Played 10 32
Wins 2 6
Draws 0 11
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 0.7 0.91
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2024 Turkish Cup
Bayburt Ozel Idare vs Serhat Ardahanspor
2:0
Sep 6, 2016 Turkish Cup
Serhat Ardahanspor vs Bayburt Ozel Idare
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serhat Ardahanspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Saltan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Bayburt Ozel Idare Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serhat Ardahanspor 29 / 100
Bayburt Ozel Idare 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serhat Ardahanspor Bayburt Ozel Idare

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bayburt Ozel Idare or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Serhat Ardahanspor attacking → ← attacking Bayburt Ozel Idare

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serhat Ardahanspor scored in 50% of their last 10 games.

Bayburt Ozel Idare let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Serhat Ardahanspor went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Bayburt Ozel Idare lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 29
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
4.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50