Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Serik Spor vs Arguvan

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2023/2024
Wed, Oct 11, 2023
1 - 2
11:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Ozdemir B.
90' Event
Asci M.
1' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Arguvan advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Serik Spor
15%
Draws
36%
Arguvan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Serik Spor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Serik Spor come out ahead of Arguvan on wins alone.
  • Model gives Serik Spor a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Serik Spor have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Arguvan, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Serik Spor Clean Sheet 68%
Arguvan Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serik Spor Arguvan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 2 3
Losses 20 22
Goals Scored 1.3 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.23 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2023 Turkish Cup
Serik Spor vs Arguvan
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serik Spor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozdemir B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Arguvan Compare

Top Goalscorer Asci M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serik Spor 68 / 100
Arguvan 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serik Spor Arguvan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serik Spor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arguvan let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Serik Spor scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Arguvan's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Serik Spor VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Serik Spor

(Home)
01 May
Boluspor
3 : 1
Serik Spor
25 Apr
Serik Spor
4 : 2
Hatayspor
19 Apr
Manisa FK
1 : 0
Serik Spor
12 Apr
Keciorengucu
0 : 0
Serik Spor
08 Apr
Serik Spor
1 : 6
Vanspor FK
Page 1 of 6

Arguvan

(Away)
27 Apr
Arguvan
3 : 4
Erciyes 38
21 Apr
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
2 : 5
Arguvan
14 Apr
Arguvan
1 : 5
Inegol Kafkas
07 Apr
Edirnespor Genclik
2 : 1
Arguvan
03 Apr
Arguvan
2 : 4
Kepez Bld.
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Ankaragucu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Serik Spor -
TBD -
Arguvan 2
Elazigspor 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Iskenderunspor -
Rizespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bucaspor 1928 -
Adanademirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erzurumspor FK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) -
TBD -
Catalca Spor 0
Tepecik 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
24Erzincanspor -
Gaziantep -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soke 1970 -
Etimesgut -
TBD -
Mardin 1969 4
Batman Petrolspor 1
Karsiyaka 2
Izmir Coruhlu 0
Bigaspor 1
Bilecik 1969 0
Bodrumspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Menemenspor -
TBD -
Bursa Yildirimspor 2
Inegol Kafkas 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nevsehir -
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Adanaspor AS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nazillispor -
TBD -
Hacettepe 1945 3
Kirikkale FK 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erokspor -
Antalyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
52 Orduspor -
Istanbulspor AS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kepez Bld. -
Pendikspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Isparta 32 Spor -
TBD -
Eskisehir Anadolu 1
Ankaraspor 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu -
Besiktas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eyupspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ankara Demirspor -
Sivasspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hopaspor -
Arnavutkoy Bl. -
TBD -
Silivrispor 2
Ergene Velimese 0
Bursaspor -
TBD -
Golcukspor 3
Bartinspor 0
Keciorengucu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Denizlispor -
TBD -
Balikesirspor 0
Burhaniye 1
Afyonspor -
TBD -
Adana 01 2
Osmaniyespor 1
Musspor 4
Agri 1970 0
Sultanbeyli 1
Kucukcekmece 3
Konyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bayburt Ozel Idare 2
Eynesil 3
Erbaaspor 3
Fatsa Bld. 0
Giresunspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -
Goztepe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Trabzon FK -
Kayserispor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Igdir FK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanspor FK -
Genclerbirligi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altinordu -
TBD -
Burdur Mehmet 2
Tarsus 1
Karacabey Bld. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Adiyaman FK -
TBD -
Bornova 1877 4
Akhisarspor 0
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corum FK -
Manisa FK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pazarspor 2
Gumushanespor 0
Kumluca 0
Silifke 2
Kastamonuspor -
TBD -
Sebat Spor Kulubu 4
Kelkit Bld. 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ayvalikgucu -
Basaksehir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sanliurfaspor -
Boluspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Karaman FK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Amedspor -
Hatayspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sariyer -
TBD -
Bulvarspor 3
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 4
Duzcespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kusadasispor -
Sakaryaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ankaraspor -
Galatasaray -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orduspor 1967 -
Tuzlaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cankaya FK -
Kasimpasa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aksaray Bld. -
Kirsehir SK -
TBD -
Siirt Ozel 1
Sirnak 2
Sivas Dort 2
Amasyaspor 0
12 Bingol Spor 1
23 Elazig FK 2
Bandirmaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alanya 1221 -
Soma Spor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sapanca Genclikspor 2
Darica Genclerbirligi 1
1922 Konyaspor 1
Erciyes 38 2
F. Karagumruk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inegolspor -
TBD -
Kars 36 Spor 1
Dogubayazit 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guzide Gebzespor -
Altay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu -
TBD -
Turgutlu 1
Aliaga 3
Kirklarelispor -
TBD -
Edirnespor Genclik 1
Corluspor 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Karakopru -
Alanyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kutahyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kocaelispor -
Samsunspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fethiyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zonguldak Komurspor -
TBD -
Carsambaspor 1
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 7
1/128-finals
Ankaragucu -
TBD -
Serik Spor 1
Arguvan 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Iskenderunspor -
Rizespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bucaspor 1928 -
Adanademirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erzurumspor FK -
TBD -
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 4
Tepecik 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
24Erzincanspor -
Gaziantep -
TBD -
TBD -
Soke 1970 -
Etimesgut 3
Mardin 1969 2
Karsiyaka 0
Bigaspor 1
Bodrumspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Menemenspor 1
Bursa Yildirimspor 0
TBD -
Nevsehir -
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Adanaspor AS -
TBD -
Nazillispor 0
Hacettepe 1945 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erokspor -
Antalyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
52 Orduspor -
Istanbulspor AS -
TBD -
TBD -
Kepez Bld. -
Pendikspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Isparta 32 Spor 1
Ankaraspor 0
TBD -
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu -
Besiktas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eyupspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ankara Demirspor -
Sivasspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Hopaspor -
Arnavutkoy Bl. 6
Silivrispor 3
Bursaspor 1
Golcukspor 2
Keciorengucu -
TBD -
Denizlispor 2
Burhaniye 3
Afyonspor 2
Adana 01 1
Musspor 2
Kucukcekmece 0
Konyaspor -
TBD -
Eynesil 0
Erbaaspor 2
Giresunspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -
Goztepe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Trabzon FK -
Kayserispor -
TBD -
TBD -
Igdir FK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanspor FK -
Genclerbirligi -
TBD -
Altinordu 0
Burdur Mehmet 1
Karacabey Bld. -
TBD -
Adiyaman FK 0
Bornova 1877 2
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corum FK -
Manisa FK -
TBD -
Pazarspor 2
Silifke 0
Kastamonuspor 2
Sebat Spor Kulubu 1
TBD -
Ayvalikgucu -
Basaksehir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sanliurfaspor -
Boluspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Karaman FK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Amedspor -
Hatayspor -
TBD -
Sariyer 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 1
Duzcespor -
TBD -
TBD -
Kusadasispor -
Sakaryaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ankaraspor -
Galatasaray -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
Orduspor 1967 -
Tuzlaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Cankaya FK -
Kasimpasa -
TBD -
TBD -
Aksaray Bld. -
Kirsehir SK 2
Sirnak 0
Sivas Dort 1
23 Elazig FK 3
Bandirmaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Alanya 1221 -
Soma Spor -
TBD -
Sapanca Genclikspor 1
Erciyes 38 2
F. Karagumruk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inegolspor 2
Dogubayazit 1
TBD -
Guzide Gebzespor -
Altay -
TBD -
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 1
Aliaga 4
Kirklarelispor 1
Corluspor 0
TBD -
Karakopru -
Alanyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Kutahyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kocaelispor -
Samsunspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fethiyespor -
TBD -
Zonguldak Komurspor 2
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 3
1/64-finals
Ankaragucu 2
Arguvan 0
TBD -
Iskenderunspor -
Rizespor -
TBD -
TBD -
Bucaspor 1928 -
Adanademirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erzurumspor FK 1
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 0
TBD -
24Erzincanspor -
Gaziantep 4
Soke 1970 0
Etimesgut 1
Bigaspor 0
Bodrumspor -
TBD -
Menemenspor 2
Nevsehir 0
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Adanaspor AS 5
Hacettepe 1945 0
TBD -
Erokspor -
Antalyaspor 3
52 Orduspor 0
Istanbulspor AS 2
Kepez Bld. 3
Pendikspor -
TBD -
Isparta 32 Spor 3
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 0
Besiktas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eyupspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Ankara Demirspor -
Sivasspor 4
Hopaspor 0
Arnavutkoy Bl. 2
Golcukspor 1
Keciorengucu 4
Burhaniye 2
Afyonspor 1
Musspor 3
Konyaspor 3
Erbaaspor 0
Giresunspor 1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2
Goztepe -
TBD -
TBD -
Trabzon FK -
Kayserispor 4
Igdir FK 0
TBD -
Vanspor FK -
Genclerbirligi 4
Burdur Mehmet 3
Karacabey Bld. 0
Bornova 1877 4
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Corum FK -
Manisa FK 3
Pazarspor 0
Kastamonuspor 3
Ayvalikgucu 2
Basaksehir -
TBD -
TBD -
Sanliurfaspor -
Boluspor 2
Karaman FK 0
TBD -
Amedspor -
Hatayspor 2
Sariyer 0
Duzcespor 3
Kusadasispor 1
Sakaryaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Ankaraspor -
Galatasaray -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Umraniyespor 5
Orduspor 1967 1
Tuzlaspor 1
Cankaya FK 2
Kasimpasa 3
Aksaray Bld. 0
Kirsehir SK 3
23 Elazig FK 0
Bandirmaspor 3
Alanya 1221 1
Soma Spor 6
Erciyes 38 0
F. Karagumruk -
TBD -
Inegolspor 1
Guzide Gebzespor 2
Altay 2
Aliaga 1
Kirklarelispor 1
Karakopru 0
Alanyaspor 4
Kutahyaspor 1
TBD -
Kocaelispor -
Samsunspor -
TBD -
Fethiyespor 0
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1
1/32-finals
Ankaragucu 3
Iskenderunspor 1
Rizespor 4
Bucaspor 1928 0
Adanademirspor -
TBD -
Erzurumspor FK 0
24Erzincanspor 3
Gaziantep 2
Etimesgut 1
Bodrumspor 2
Menemenspor 1
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
Adanaspor AS 2
Erokspor 0
Antalyaspor 6
Kepez Bld. 1
Pendikspor 5
Isparta 32 Spor 3
Besiktas -
TBD -
Eyupspor 3
Ankara Demirspor 1
Sivasspor 2
Arnavutkoy Bl. 1
Keciorengucu 2
Musspor 1
Konyaspor 3
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 0
Goztepe 3
Trabzon FK 0
Kayserispor 4
Vanspor FK 0
Genclerbirligi 4
Bornova 1877 1
Trabzonspor 3
Corum FK 1
Manisa FK 3
Kastamonuspor 0
Basaksehir 2
Sanliurfaspor 0
Boluspor 1
Amedspor 0
Hatayspor 2
Duzcespor 1
Sakaryaspor 1
Ankaraspor 0
Galatasaray -
TBD -
Umraniyespor 2
Cankaya FK 1
Kasimpasa 4
Kirsehir SK 1
Bandirmaspor 3
Soma Spor 1
F. Karagumruk 3
Guzide Gebzespor 1
Altay 2
Kirklarelispor 3
Alanyaspor 1
Kocaelispor 0
Samsunspor 3
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 0
1/16-finals
Ankaragucu 3
Rizespor 1
Adanademirspor 2
24Erzincanspor 3
Gaziantep 1
Bodrumspor 0
Fenerbahce 6
Adanaspor AS 0
Antalyaspor 2
Pendikspor 1
Besiktas 4
Eyupspor 0
Sivasspor 3
Keciorengucu 2
Konyaspor 2
Goztepe 1
Kayserispor 1
Genclerbirligi 2
Trabzonspor 3
Manisa FK 1
Basaksehir 1
Boluspor 0
Hatayspor 5
Sakaryaspor 1
Galatasaray 4
Umraniyespor 1
Kasimpasa 0
Bandirmaspor 1
F. Karagumruk 2
Kirklarelispor 0
Alanyaspor 1
Samsunspor 3
1/8-finals
Ankaragucu 5
24Erzincanspor 1
Gaziantep 0
Fenerbahce 2
Antalyaspor 1
Besiktas 2
Sivasspor 0
Konyaspor 1
Genclerbirligi 1
Trabzonspor 2
Basaksehir 2
Hatayspor 1
Galatasaray 4
Bandirmaspor 2
F. Karagumruk 2
Samsunspor 1
Quarter-finals
Ankaragucu 3
Fenerbahce 0
Besiktas 2
Konyaspor 0
Trabzonspor 1
Basaksehir 0
Galatasaray 0
F. Karagumruk 2
Semi-finals
Ankaragucu 0
Besiktas 1
Trabzonspor 7
F. Karagumruk 2
Final
Besiktas 3
Trabzonspor 2