Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Serik Spor vs Istanbulspor AS

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Esenler Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Mamadou M.
21'
Guibero R.
30' Event
Ersu E.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Serik Spor and Istanbulspor AS finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Istanbulspor AS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Serik Spor
6%
Draws
90%
Istanbulspor AS
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Istanbulspor AS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Serik Spor haven't matched Istanbulspor AS's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Istanbulspor AS a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Serik Spor Clean Sheet 12%
Istanbulspor AS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serik Spor Istanbulspor AS
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 2 6
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 1. Lig
Serik Spor vs Istanbulspor AS
0:3
Aug 9, 2025 1. Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs Serik Spor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serik Spor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Istanbulspor AS Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamadou M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gultekin E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serik Spor 10 / 100
Istanbulspor AS 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serik Spor Istanbulspor AS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serik Spor's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Istanbulspor AS conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Serik Spor has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Serik Spor VS Istanbulspor AS
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54