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Serpa vs Oriental Dragon

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023
Serpa Logo

Serpa

0 - 1
FT
Oriental Dragon Logo

Oriental Dragon

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 game between Serpa and Oriental Dragon finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oriental Dragon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Serpa
30%
Draws
43%
Oriental Dragon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oriental Dragon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Serpa come out ahead of Oriental Dragon on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Serpa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Serpa Clean Sheet 17%
Oriental Dragon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serpa Oriental Dragon
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Serpa vs Oriental Dragon
0:1
Oct 23, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oriental Dragon vs Serpa
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serpa 41 / 100
Oriental Dragon 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serpa Oriental Dragon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serpa found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (42 games).

Oriental Dragon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Serpa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serpa VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Serpa

(Home)
06 Sept
Serpa
1 : 1
1º Dezembro
29 Aug
Serpa
2 : 0
Grandolense
16 Aug
Serpa
4 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
18 Apr
Oriental
2 : 1
Serpa
12 Apr
Serpa
0 : 1
Alverca B
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Oriental Dragon

(Away)
19 Apr
Imortal
2 : 2
Oriental Dragon
08 Apr
Oriental Dragon
2 : 1
SC Praiense
02 Apr
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
3 : 3
Oriental Dragon
19 Mar
Ferreiras
1 : 2
Oriental Dragon
12 Mar
Oriental Dragon
1 : 0
Olhanense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico CP 26 15 7 4 43:22 52
2 Lusitano GC 26 15 6 5 35:22 51
3 Juv. Evora 26 13 7 6 37:16 46
4 CD Rabo Peixe 26 13 6 7 33:19 45
5 Imortal 26 9 12 5 31:22 39
6 Fabril do Barreiro 26 11 6 9 31:26 39
7 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 10 9 7 37:33 39
8 Serpa 26 10 6 10 44:36 36
9 Oriental Dragon 26 10 6 10 35:36 36
10 SC Praiense 26 9 7 10 31:32 34
11 Esperanca de Lagos 26 7 10 9 28:38 31
12 SC Angrense 26 4 5 17 17:46 17
13 Olhanense 26 5 2 19 18:50 17
14 Ferreiras 26 3 7 16 17:39 16
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)