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Serpa vs SC Praiense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023
Serpa Logo

Serpa

1 - 2
FT
SC Praiense Logo

SC Praiense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SC Praiense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Praiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Serpa
30%
Draws
35%
SC Praiense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • SC Praiense have won more games recently than Serpa.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Serpa taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Serpa Clean Sheet 19%
SC Praiense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serpa SC Praiense
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Serpa vs SC Praiense
1:2
Nov 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
SC Praiense vs Serpa
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serpa 36 / 100
SC Praiense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serpa SC Praiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Serpa scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

SC Praiense let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Serpa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serpa VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Serpa

(Home)
26 Sept
Real SC
1 : 1
Serpa
20 Sept
Serpa
1 : 2
Louletano
13 Sept
Lagoa
0 : 0
Serpa
06 Sept
Serpa
1 : 1
1º Dezembro
29 Aug
Serpa
2 : 0
Grandolense
Page 1 of 7

SC Praiense

(Away)
19 Apr
SC Praiense
0 : 1
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
08 Apr
Oriental Dragon
2 : 1
SC Praiense
02 Apr
SC Praiense
5 : 0
Olhanense
25 Mar
SC Praiense
0 : 1
CD Rabo Peixe
19 Mar
Fabril do Barreiro
1 : 2
SC Praiense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico CP 26 15 7 4 43:22 52
2 Lusitano GC 26 15 6 5 35:22 51
3 Juv. Evora 26 13 7 6 37:16 46
4 CD Rabo Peixe 26 13 6 7 33:19 45
5 Imortal 26 9 12 5 31:22 39
6 Fabril do Barreiro 26 11 6 9 31:26 39
7 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 10 9 7 37:33 39
8 Serpa 26 10 6 10 44:36 36
9 Oriental Dragon 26 10 6 10 35:36 36
10 SC Praiense 26 9 7 10 31:32 34
11 Esperanca de Lagos 26 7 10 9 28:38 31
12 SC Angrense 26 4 5 17 17:46 17
13 Olhanense 26 5 2 19 18:50 17
14 Ferreiras 26 3 7 16 17:39 16
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)