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Serpa vs Uniao Montemor

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Serpa in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Serpa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Serpa
17%
Draws
13%
Uniao Montemor
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Serpa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Serpa have won more games recently than Uniao Montemor.
  • Model gives Serpa a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Serpa have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Serpa Clean Sheet 68%
Uniao Montemor Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serpa Uniao Montemor
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 15 3
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Uniao Montemor vs Serpa
1:5
Apr 3, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Serpa vs Uniao Montemor
1:0
Dec 19, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Serpa vs Uniao Montemor
2:1
Sep 12, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Uniao Montemor vs Serpa
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serpa 77 / 100
Uniao Montemor 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serpa Uniao Montemor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Uniao Montemor conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Uniao Montemor's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Serpa scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Serpa VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%