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Serra Branca vs Picuiense

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2025 Estadio Governador Ernani Satyro (Amigao), Campina Grande
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Match Events

19' Event
Iury Tanque
38' Event
Mateus Santana
45' Event
Iury Tanque

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2025 game between Serra Branca and Picuiense finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serra Branca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Serra Branca
20%
Draws
0%
Picuiense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Serra Branca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Picuiense haven't matched Serra Branca's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Serra Branca a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paraibano 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Serra Branca Clean Sheet 68%
Picuiense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serra Branca Picuiense
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 10 3
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.45 0.86
Goals Conceded 1 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2025 Paraibano
Serra Branca vs Picuiense
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serra Branca Compare

Top Goalscorer Iury Tanque
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mateus Santana
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Picuiense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serra Branca 95 / 100
Picuiense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serra Branca Picuiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serra Branca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Serra Branca scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.

Picuiense's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Picuiense let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Serra Branca VS Picuiense
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Serra Branca

(Home)
12 Jul
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Serra Branca
04 Jul
Serra Branca
0 : 1
Uberlandia
28 Jun
Juazeirense
0 : 1
Serra Branca
21 Jun
Serra Branca
2 : 0
Juazeirense
14 Jun
Sergipe
1 : 1
Serra Branca
Page 1 of 7

Picuiense

(Away)
19 Feb
Picuiense
0 : 5
EC de Patos
15 Feb
Botafogo PB
3 : 0
Picuiense
12 Feb
Picuiense
2 : 6
Treze PB
09 Feb
Picuiense
1 : 2
Auto Esporte
03 Feb
Serra Branca
8 : 0
Picuiense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:3 20
2 Botafogo PB 9 6 1 2 19:8 19
3 Treze PB 9 5 3 1 18:8 18
4 Serra Branca 9 5 2 2 21:8 17
5 Campinense 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
6 EC de Patos 9 3 1 5 14:16 10
7 Pombal 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
8 Nacional PB 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
9 Auto Esporte 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
10 Picuiense 9 0 1 8 5:35 1
11 CSP 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 (Main)