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Serra Macaense vs 7 de Abril

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2025
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Match Events

4' Event
Joao Tanque
86' Event
Moreno Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca B2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Serra Macaense
15%
Draws
21%
7 de Abril
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Serra Macaense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • 7 de Abril haven't matched Serra Macaense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Serra Macaense a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Serra Macaense Clean Sheet 68%
7 de Abril Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serra Macaense 7 de Abril
Matches Played 29 20
Wins 11 4
Draws 10 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Carioca B2
Serra Macaense vs 7 de Abril
1:1
Oct 25, 2024 Carioca B2
7 de Abril vs Serra Macaense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serra Macaense Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Tanque
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

7 de Abril Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serra Macaense 59 / 100
7 de Abril 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serra Macaense 7 de Abril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serra Macaense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

7 de Abril let in goals in 80% of their last 20 matches.

Serra Macaense scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Serra Macaense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

7 de Abril's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Serra Macaense VS 7 de Abril
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Serra Macaense

(Home)
30 Aug
Serra Macaense
0 : 1
Friburguense
09 Nov
Belford Roxo
2 : 0
Serra Macaense
06 Nov
Serra Macaense
2 : 1
Macae
02 Nov
FC Rio de Janeiro
0 : 2
Serra Macaense
26 Oct
Serra Macaense
1 : 0
Goytacaz
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7 de Abril

(Away)
30 Aug
Santa Cruz RJ
2 : 0
7 de Abril
09 Nov
Macae
2 : 0
7 de Abril
06 Nov
7 de Abril
6 : 2
FC Rio de Janeiro
02 Nov
Goytacaz
2 : 1
7 de Abril
27 Oct
7 de Abril
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz RJ 8 7 1 0 14:3 22
2 Belford Roxo 8 5 1 2 17:8 16
3 Goytacaz 8 5 1 2 13:8 16
4 Macae 8 4 1 3 13:5 13
5 Serra Macaense 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
6 Paraty 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
7 7 de Abril 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
8 FC Rio de Janeiro 8 1 0 7 7:25 3
9 Barra Mansa 8 0 2 6 4:18 2
Promotion - Carioca B2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Main)