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Match Events
AI Match Summary
Barra Mansa in this Carioca B2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barra Mansa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Serra Macaense have won more games recently than Barra Mansa.
- Model gives Serra Macaense a 52% chance of winning this.
- Regular Carioca B2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Serra Macaense | Barra Mansa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Serra Macaense Compare
Barra Mansa Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Serra Macaense's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Barra Mansa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Solid form: Serra Macaense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Serra Macaense
(Home)Barra Mansa
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Campo Grande | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23:6 | 26 |
| 2 | Bonsucesso | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 20:5 | 22 |
| 3 | Niteroiense | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19:12 | 21 |
| 4 | AA Carapebus | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23:11 | 20 |
| 5 | Serra Macaense | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 10:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Zinza | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Barra Mansa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Uni Souza | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:18 | 15 |
| 9 | 7 de Abril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 10 | FC Rio de Janeiro | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12:23 | 8 |
| 11 | Mageense | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11:30 | 6 |
| 12 | Rio Sao Paulo | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8:33 | 6 |