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Serra Macaense vs Macae

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2025
Serra Macaense Logo

Serra Macaense

2 - 1
FT
Macae Logo

Macae

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Joao Tanque
69'
Jaja
69'
Ryckellmy Santos Roza W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Serra Macaense in this Carioca B2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Serra Macaense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Serra Macaense
35%
Draws
15%
Macae
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Serra Macaense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Serra Macaense lately — more wins on the board than Macae.
  • Model gives Serra Macaense a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Serra Macaense Clean Sheet 68%
Macae Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serra Macaense Macae
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 11 5
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2025 Carioca B2
Serra Macaense vs Macae
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serra Macaense Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Tanque
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rael
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Macae Compare

Top Goalscorer Pipico
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serra Macaense 68 / 100
Macae 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serra Macaense Macae

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serra Macaense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serra Macaense scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Macae conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Serra Macaense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Serra Macaense VS Macae
1 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Serra Macaense

(Home)
09 Nov
Belford Roxo
2 : 0
Serra Macaense
06 Nov
Serra Macaense
2 : 1
Macae
02 Nov
FC Rio de Janeiro
0 : 2
Serra Macaense
26 Oct
Serra Macaense
1 : 0
Goytacaz
19 Oct
Santa Cruz RJ
0 : 0
Serra Macaense
Page 1 of 6

Macae

(Away)
23 Jun
Americano
2 : 1
Macae
17 Jun
Macae
0 : 0
Americano
07 Dec
Goytacaz
4 : 1
Macae
30 Nov
Macae
1 : 1
Goytacaz
23 Nov
Santa Cruz RJ
2 : 2
Macae
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz RJ 8 7 1 0 14:3 22
2 Belford Roxo 8 5 1 2 17:8 16
3 Goytacaz 8 5 1 2 13:8 16
4 Macae 8 4 1 3 13:5 13
5 Serra Macaense 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
6 Paraty 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
7 7 de Abril 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
8 FC Rio de Janeiro 8 1 0 7 7:25 3
9 Barra Mansa 8 0 2 6 4:18 2
Promotion - Carioca B2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Main)