Sport Picks
Serra Macaense vs Rio Sao Paulo
Brazil
Carioca B2 2024 
AI Match Summary
Serra Macaense host Rio Sao Paulo in the Carioca B2 2024. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Rio Sao Paulo have shipped 1.81 goals a game lately, while Serra Macaense have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.23. Past meetings favor Serra Macaense slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 28, 2024, ending 3:0. xG projections (2.44 - 0.94) back Serra Macaense to edge this. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Serra Macaense come out ahead of Rio Sao Paulo on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Serra Macaense's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Serra Macaense | Rio Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 0.85 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Away concern: Rio Sao Paulo has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Serra Macaense scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Rio Sao Paulo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Serra Macaense
(Home)Rio Sao Paulo
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Campo Grande | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23:6 | 26 |
| 2 | Bonsucesso | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 20:5 | 22 |
| 3 | Niteroiense | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19:12 | 21 |
| 4 | AA Carapebus | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23:11 | 20 |
| 5 | Serra Macaense | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 10:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Zinza | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Barra Mansa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Uni Souza | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:18 | 15 |
| 9 | 7 de Abril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 10 | FC Rio de Janeiro | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12:23 | 8 |
| 11 | Mageense | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11:30 | 6 |
| 12 | Rio Sao Paulo | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8:33 | 6 |
