Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Capixaba 2023 game between Serra and CA Itapemirim finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serra.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Serra carry the better recent record into this one.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Serra taking it.
- Regular Capixaba 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Serra have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Serra | CA Itapemirim |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 36 |
| Wins | 21 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.65 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.05 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Serra Compare
CA Itapemirim Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Serra scored in 81% of their last 37 outings.
CA Itapemirim's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 36 matches.
Away concern: CA Itapemirim has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Serra
(Home)CA Itapemirim
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria ES | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:8 | 19 |
| 2 | Porto Vitoria | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:12 | 19 |
| 3 | Real Noroeste | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 18 |
| 4 | Nova Venecia | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Rio Branco ES | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11:12 | 15 |
| 6 | Serra | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15:11 | 15 |
| 7 | Desportiva Ferroviaria | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | 11 |
| 8 | Estrela do Norte | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 9 | Vilavelhense | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 10 | CA Itapemirim | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2:26 | 0 |
