Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Serra vs Linhares Futebol Clube

Brazil Brazil

Copa Espirito Santo 2025 Estádio Municipal Roberto Siqueira Costa
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Guilherme
36' Event
Fabio Matos
39' Event
Vini

AI Match Summary

Serra play Linhares Futebol Clube in the Copa Espirito Santo 2025. Serra are favorites here. Recently, Serra averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1 conceded. Linhares Futebol Clube averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Serra won 5, Linhares Futebol Clube won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 3, 2025 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Serra and 1.00 for Linhares Futebol Clube. This points to a Serra double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Serra
40%
Draws
29%
Linhares Futebol Clube
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Serra has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Linhares Futebol Clube.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Copa Espirito Santo 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Serra Clean Sheet 20%
Linhares Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serra Linhares Futebol Clube
Matches Played 43 32
Wins 26 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2025 Capixaba 2
Serra vs Linhares Futebol Clube
3:2
Sep 27, 2025 Capixaba 2
Linhares Futebol Clube vs Serra
0:2
Sep 12, 2025 Capixaba 2
Serra vs Linhares Futebol Clube
2:1
Jun 29, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Serra vs Linhares Futebol Clube
7:0
Feb 12, 2020 Capixaba
Serra vs Linhares Futebol Clube
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serra Compare

Top Goalscorer Henrique
2 Goals
Assists Leader Guilherme
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Linhares Futebol Clube Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serra 32 / 100
Linhares Futebol Clube 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serra Linhares Futebol Clube

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serra scored in 84% of their last 43 games.

Linhares Futebol Clube let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Serra went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Linhares Futebol Clube lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serra VS Linhares Futebol Clube
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria ES1072128:823
2Porto Vitoria1062226:1120
3Desportiva Ferroviaria1052318:1017
4Real Noroeste1051418:1316
5Capixaba SC1042412:1114
6Rio Branco-VN1042414:1414
7Serra1041521:2013
8Vilavelhense103346:1312
9Sport-ES1031611:2610
10Rio Branco ES1034320:187
11Linhares Futebol Clube100285:352