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Serranense vs Ipatinga

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Mineiro 2 2018 game between Serranense and Ipatinga finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Serranense
30%
Draws
47%
Ipatinga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ipatinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Ipatinga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Serranense a 23% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Ipatinga have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Serranense Clean Sheet 16%
Ipatinga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serranense Ipatinga
Matches Played 38 36
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 1.05 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2021 Mineiro 2
Ipatinga vs Serranense
3:0
Oct 24, 2020 Mineiro 2
Serranense vs Ipatinga
0:1
Apr 20, 2019 Mineiro 2
Serranense vs Ipatinga
2:4
Mar 24, 2018 Mineiro 2
Serranense vs Ipatinga
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serranense 48 / 100
Ipatinga 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serranense Ipatinga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serranense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serranense's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Ipatinga has conceded goals in 64% of their last 36 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Ipatinga registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serranense VS Ipatinga
0.83 Goals Scored 0.25
2.67 Goals Conceded 1.88
67% Over 1.5 38%
67% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Serranense

(Home)
11 Oct
Serranense
0 : 1
Boston City
05 Oct
Coimbra Esporte Clube
6 : 1
Serranense
27 Sept
Serranense
2 : 2
Tupi-MG
20 Sept
Novo Esporte
3 : 0
Serranense
06 Sept
Serranense
0 : 0
Uniao Luziense
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Ipatinga

(Away)
11 Jul
Ipatinga
3 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
04 Jul
Democrata SL
5 : 0
Ipatinga
01 Jul
Ipatinga
1 : 4
Aymores
27 Jun
Villa Nova AC
6 : 0
Ipatinga
23 Jun
Valeriodoce
1 : 1
Ipatinga
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