Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Serrano FC host Duque de Caxias in the Carioca B1. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Serrano FC have averaged 1.25 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Duque de Caxias's 0.25 scored and 2 conceded. Past meetings favor Duque de Caxias slightly — 1-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2025, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.63 - 0.50) back Serrano FC to edge this. Serrano FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Serrano FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Duque de Caxias.
- Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Carioca B1 provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Serrano FC | Duque de Caxias |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Serrano FC Compare
Duque de Caxias Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Serrano FC scored in 65% of their last 34 games.
Duque de Caxias let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.33 goals.
Serrano FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Duque de Caxias lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bonsucesso | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 14:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Sao Cristovao | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Serrano FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 18 |
| 4 | Duque de Caxias | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Niteroiense | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 16 |
| 6 | Goncalense | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Nova Cidade | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:9 | 16 |
| 8 | Campo Grande | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 9:8 | 15 |
| 9 | Artsul | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 10 | AA Carapebus | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Paduano EC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 12 | Friburguense | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3:13 | 4 |