Sport Picks

Brazil

Carioca 2

Serrano FC

1 - 1

Marica

Our Tip

Match Events

26'

Marcelo

90'

Ramos V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 game between Serrano FC and Marica finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Serrano FC

Draws

90%

Marica

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Marica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Marica carry the better recent record into this one.
90% — that's where the model lands on Marica taking it.
Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Serrano FC Clean Sheet 16%

Marica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Serrano FC	Marica
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	10	11
Draws	11	9
Losses	10	10
Goals Scored	0.63	1
Goals Conceded	2	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Carioca 2

Serrano FC vs Marica

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 4 - 2

1:1

Jun 22, 2024 Carioca 2

Serrano FC vs Marica

Possession: 44% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Oct 7, 2020 Carioca 2

Serrano FC vs Marica

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serrano FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Marica Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelo

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano FC 10 / 100

Marica 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Serrano FC Marica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Serrano FC scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Marica has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Serrano FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Serrano FC VS Marica

0.63 Goals Scored 1

2 Goals Conceded 0.75

75% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Americano	11	8	1	2	18:9	25
2	Marica	11	7	3	1	11:7	24
3	Resende	11	5	4	2	16:9	19
4	America RJ	11	5	1	5	18:14	16
5	Perolas Negras	11	5	1	5	11:15	16
6	Sao Goncalo	11	4	2	5	11:10	14
7	Bonsucesso	11	4	2	5	10:11	14
8	Olaria	11	3	4	4	11:11	13
9	Cabofriense	11	3	3	5	12:13	12
10	CEAC/Araruama	11	3	2	6	11:15	11
11	Serrano FC	11	2	5	4	10:18	11
12	Audax RJ	11	3	0	8	10:17	9