Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Serrano FC vs Olaria

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Serrano FC play Olaria in the Carioca 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Serrano FC averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Olaria averaged 1.1 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. In past meetings, Serrano FC won 1, Olaria won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.76 for Serrano FC and 1.56 for Olaria. This points to a Serrano FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Serrano FC
34%
Draws
31%
Olaria
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Serrano FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Serrano FC picked up more points recently compared to Olaria.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.76 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Serrano FC Clean Sheet 15%
Olaria Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serrano FC Olaria
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Carioca 2
Serrano FC vs Olaria
1:1
Jul 6, 2024 Carioca 2
Serrano FC vs Olaria
1:2
Sep 26, 2020 Carioca 2
Olaria vs Serrano FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serrano FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Davi Santos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Olaria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano FC 35 / 100
Olaria 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serrano FC Olaria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Serrano FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Serrano FC attacking → ← attacking Olaria

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serrano FC scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Olaria let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Serrano FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Olaria lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 40
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Americano1181218:925
2Marica1173111:724
3Resende1154216:919
4America RJ1151518:1416
5Perolas Negras1151511:1516
6Sao Goncalo1142511:1014
7Bonsucesso1142510:1114
8Olaria1134411:1113
9Cabofriense1133512:1312
10CEAC/Araruama1132611:1511
11Serrano FC1125410:1811
12Audax RJ1130810:179