Bahia de Feira in this Serie D 2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bahia de Feira.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
Serrano PB
30%
Draws
35%
Bahia de Feira
Draw rate projection: 30%Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
Bahia de Feira have won more games recently than Serrano PB.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Serie D 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals70%
Over 4.5 Goals32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)71.4%
Serrano PB Clean Sheet19%
Bahia de Feira Clean Sheet11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Serrano PB
Bahia de Feira
Matches Played
27
32
Wins
4
13
Draws
10
9
Losses
13
10
Goals Scored
1.15
1.97
Goals Conceded
2.37
1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.10
1.40
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 1, 2019Serie D
Serrano PBvsBahia de Feira
0:5
May 11, 2019Serie D
Bahia de FeiravsSerrano PB
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Serrano PB32 / 100
Bahia de Feira28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Serrano PB Bahia de Feira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickDraw (X)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score2:2
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.
Serrano PB's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Bahia de Feira has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.
Serrano PB has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.