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Serrano PB vs EC de Patos

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Campeonato Paraibano 2019
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Paraibano 2019 game between Serrano PB and EC de Patos finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Serrano PB
15%
Draws
59%
EC de Patos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC de Patos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and EC de Patos come out ahead of Serrano PB on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Serrano PB taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Paraibano 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Serrano PB Clean Sheet 20%
EC de Patos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serrano PB EC de Patos
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 5 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.04 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2019 Paraibano
Serrano PB vs EC de Patos
2:2
Feb 3, 2019 Paraibano
EC de Patos vs Serrano PB
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano PB 36 / 100
EC de Patos 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serrano PB EC de Patos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Serrano PB's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

EC de Patos let in goals in 59% of their last 34 matches.

Serrano PB went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serrano PB VS EC de Patos
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Serrano PB

(Home)
21 Sept
Serrano PB
5 : 1
Spartax
18 Sept
Sao Paulo Crystal
3 : 0
Serrano PB
15 Sept
Miramar EC
2 : 0
Serrano PB
11 Sept
Serrano PB
3 : 3
Atletico Cajazeirense
08 Sept
Serrano PB
1 : 2
Desportiva Guarabira
Page 1 of 6

EC de Patos

(Away)
22 Feb
EC de Patos
1 : 0
Campinense
13 Feb
Treze PB
3 : 1
EC de Patos
08 Feb
Confianca PB
1 : 2
EC de Patos
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Sousa
0 : 1
EC de Patos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 10 8 0 2 17:5 24
2 Nacional PB 10 5 0 5 16:18 15
3 Sousa 10 3 5 2 11:8 14
4 Treze PB 10 3 2 5 8:8 11
5 Serrano PB 10 1 4 5 9:23 7
Promotion - Campeonato Paraibano 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Paraibano 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Cajazeirense 10 7 1 2 17:6 22
2 Campinense 10 5 2 3 15:7 17
3 Perilima 10 2 5 3 11:15 11
4 EC de Patos 10 3 1 6 9:17 10
5 CSP 10 2 2 6 10:16 8
Promotion - Campeonato Paraibano 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Paraibano 2019 (Play Offs)