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Serrano PB vs Spartax

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2 2025
Serrano PB Logo

Serrano PB

5 - 1
FT
Spartax Logo

Spartax

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2 2025 game between Serrano PB and Spartax finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serrano PB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Serrano PB
35%
Draws
30%
Spartax
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Serrano PB haven't matched Spartax's recent run of results.
  • Serrano PB are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Paraibano 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Serrano PB Clean Sheet 14%
Spartax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serrano PB Spartax
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.44 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Paraibano 2
Spartax vs Serrano PB
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Paraibano 2
Serrano PB vs Spartax
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano PB 41 / 100
Spartax 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serrano PB Spartax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Serrano PB found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Spartax let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Serrano PB remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Serrano PB VS Spartax
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Serrano PB

(Home)
20 Sept
Serrano PB
1 : 1
Sport PB
17 Sept
Spartax
1 : 1
Serrano PB
12 Sept
Serrano PB
1 : 1
Cruzeiro-PB
21 Sept
Serrano PB
5 : 1
Spartax
18 Sept
Sao Paulo Crystal
3 : 0
Serrano PB
Page 1 of 6

Spartax

(Away)
23 Sept
Sao Paulo Crystal
4 : 3
Spartax
20 Sept
Spartax
2 : 2
Auto Esporte
17 Sept
Spartax
1 : 1
Serrano PB
13 Sept
Picuiense
0 : 1
Spartax
21 Sept
Serrano PB
5 : 1
Spartax
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 6 1 2 23:10 19
2 Cruzeiro-PB 9 5 2 2 15:13 17
3 Confianca PB 9 4 4 1 13:7 16
4 Miramar EC 9 4 3 2 20:8 15
5 Desportiva Guarabira 9 4 3 2 14:11 15
6 Sao Paulo Crystal 9 4 2 3 15:8 14
7 Serrano PB 9 3 2 4 15:15 11
8 Spartax 9 2 2 5 15:23 8
9 Queimadense 9 2 1 6 9:19 7
10 Sabugy 9 1 0 8 6:31 3
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2025 (Play Offs)