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Serrano PE U20 vs Sete de Setembro (PE) U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Paiva F.
67' Event
da Silva G.
74' Event
Gomes P.

AI Match Summary

Sete de Setembro (PE) U20 in this Pernambucano U20 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sete de Setembro (PE) U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Serrano PE U20
35%
Draws
26%
Sete de Setembro (PE) U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Serrano PE U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sete de Setembro (PE) U20 lately — more wins on the board than Serrano PE U20.
  • Serrano PE U20 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sete de Setembro (PE) U20 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Serrano PE U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Sete de Setembro (PE) U20 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serrano PE U20 Sete de Setembro (PE) U20
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 3 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 0.77 1.3
Goals Conceded 3.3 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 2.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Pernambucano U20
Serrano PE U20 vs Sete de Setembro (PE) U20
1:4
Sep 11, 2021 Pernambucano U20
Sete de Setembro (PE) U20 vs Serrano PE U20
6:0
Aug 21, 2021 Pernambucano U20
Serrano PE U20 vs Sete de Setembro (PE) U20
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serrano PE U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Sete de Setembro (PE) U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Paiva F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomes P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.19

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano PE U20 56 / 100
Sete de Setembro (PE) U20 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serrano PE U20 Sete de Setembro (PE) U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serrano PE U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sete de Setembro (PE) U20 let in goals in 83% of their last 23 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.67 goals per match.

Solid form: Serrano PE U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Sete de Setembro (PE) U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Serrano PE U20 VS Sete de Setembro (PE) U20
0.5 Goals Scored 0.67
3.63 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Serrano PE U20

(Home)
30 Sept
America PE U20
2 : 2
Serrano PE U20
19 Sept
Serrano PE U20
1 : 2
Nautico U20
12 Sept
Petrolina U20
0 : 0
Serrano PE U20
04 Sept
Academica Vitoria U20
2 : 0
Serrano PE U20
29 Aug
Serrano PE U20
0 : 0
Jaguar U20
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Sete de Setembro (PE) U20

(Away)
13 Jul
Belo Jardim U20
2 : 0
Sete de Setembro (PE) U20
06 Jul
Sete de Setembro (PE) U20
0 : 2
Retro U20
29 Jun
Petrolina U20
1 : 1
Sete de Setembro (PE) U20
15 Jun
Sete de Setembro (PE) U20
0 : 1
Sport Recife U20
01 Jun
Sete de Setembro (PE) U20
2 : 2
CA Porto U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nautico U20 8 7 1 0 40:5 22
2 Santa Cruz U20 8 6 2 0 23:5 20
3 Sete de Setembro (PE) U20 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
4 CA Porto U20 8 3 2 3 14:10 11
5 Ibis Sport Club U20 8 3 2 3 13:11 11
6 Aguia FC U20 8 3 1 4 12:16 10
7 Jaguar U20 8 2 1 5 4:15 7
8 Santa Fe U20 8 1 1 6 4:16 4
9 Serrano PE U20 8 1 0 7 6:40 3
Promotion - Pernambucano U20 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Retro U20 8 7 0 1 21:6 21
2 Sport Recife U20 8 6 1 1 21:6 19
3 Petrolina U20 8 5 1 2 16:10 16
4 Belo Jardim U20 8 4 2 2 15:12 14
5 Atletico Torres U20 8 4 1 3 13:7 13
6 Central SC U20 8 2 2 4 14:20 8
7 Ipojuca U20 8 2 1 5 4:7 7
8 America PE U20 8 1 2 5 11:16 5
9 Centro Limoeirense U20 8 0 0 8 6:37 0
Promotion - Pernambucano U20 2024 (Second stage)