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Serrano PE vs Araripina

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Araripina in this Pernambucano 2 2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araripina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Serrano PE
30%
Draws
47%
Araripina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Araripina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Araripina lately — more wins on the board than Serrano PE.
  • Araripina are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Araripina here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Serrano PE Clean Sheet 10%
Araripina Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serrano PE Araripina
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 3 11
Draws 7 13
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 0.48 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.32 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2015 Pernambucano 2
Araripina vs Serrano PE
1:0
Sep 2, 2015 Pernambucano 2
Serrano PE vs Araripina
0:2
Sep 11, 2013 Pernambucano 2
Serrano PE vs Araripina
1:2
Aug 25, 2013 Pernambucano 2
Araripina vs Serrano PE
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serrano PE 10 / 100
Araripina 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serrano PE Araripina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araripina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araripina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Serrano PE scored in 42% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Serrano PE stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serrano PE VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Serrano PE

(Home)
25 Nov
Serrano PE
1 : 2
Aguia FC
18 Nov
Cabense
4 : 0
Serrano PE
05 Nov
Serrano PE
0 : 2
Ypiranga
28 Oct
Ipojuca
0 : 1
Serrano PE
22 Oct
Serrano PE
1 : 1
Barreiros FC
Page 1 of 7

Araripina

(Away)
18 Oct
Araripina
0 : 1
Afogados da Ingazeira
14 Oct
Petrolina
2 : 3
Araripina
11 Oct
Belo Jardim
2 : 2
Araripina
07 Oct
Araripina
2 : 2
Belo Jardim
04 Oct
Araripina
4 : 1
Petrolina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araripina 8 6 0 2 22:7 18
2 Altinho FC 8 5 0 3 17:9 15
3 Sete de Setembro (PE) 8 4 2 2 9:8 14
4 Serrano PE 8 2 1 5 6:14 7
5 Flamengo Arcoverde 8 1 1 6 7:23 4
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2013 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Timbauba FC 8 6 1 1 14:5 19
2 Centro Limoeirense 8 5 0 3 10:6 15
3 Vera Cruz 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
4 Academica Vitoria 8 1 3 4 6:9 6
5 Cabense 8 0 2 6 6:18 2
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2013 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olinda FC 8 4 3 1 16:8 15
2 Ibis Sport Club 8 4 3 1 10:6 15
3 Jaguar 8 3 1 4 17:14 10
4 America PE 8 3 0 5 9:15 9
5 Ferroviario do Cabo 8 2 1 5 11:20 7
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2013 (Second stage)