Sport Picks
Sertanense vs GD Fontinhas Prediction & H2H Stats
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024 
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024 game between Sertanense and GD Fontinhas finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: GD Fontinhas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sertanense haven't matched GD Fontinhas's recent run of results.
- GD Fontinhas are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 8%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Sertanense Clean Sheet 23%
GD Fontinhas Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sertanense | GD Fontinhas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 12 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.81 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 7, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Sertanense vs GD Fontinhas
0:0
Feb 28, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Fontinhas vs Sertanense
0:2
May 22, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sertanense vs GD Fontinhas
3:1
Apr 16, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Fontinhas vs Sertanense
1:0
Dec 18, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
GD Fontinhas vs Sertanense
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sertanense 24 / 100
GD Fontinhas 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sertanense GD Fontinhas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GD Fontinhas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
GD Fontinhas has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Sertanense scored in 53% of their last 32 games.
Recent resilience: Sertanense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sertanense VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sertanense
(Home) 27 Sept
O Elvas CAD
2 : 0 Sertanense
13 Sept
Sertanense
1 : 1 Malveira
30 Aug
Alcains
1 : 0 Sertanense
23 Aug
Sertanense
1 : 3 Mortagua FC
16 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 1 Sertanense
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Sertanense
1 : 1 Malveira
23 Aug
Sertanense
1 : 3 Mortagua FC
06 Apr
Sertanense
3 : 1 Alcains
16 Mar
Sertanense
0 : 2 Mortagua FC
02 Mar
Sertanense
0 : 0 O Elvas CAD
Page 1 of 3
GD Fontinhas
(Away) 07 Apr
Sertanense
0 : 0 GD Fontinhas
30 Mar
Marinhense
3 : 1 GD Fontinhas
24 Mar
GD Fontinhas
2 : 0 Tomar
17 Mar
Alverca B
0 : 1 GD Fontinhas
09 Mar
GD Fontinhas
0 : 0 Mortagua FC
Page 1 of 6
07 Apr
Sertanense
0 : 0 GD Fontinhas
30 Mar
Marinhense
3 : 1 GD Fontinhas
17 Mar
Alverca B
0 : 1 GD Fontinhas
03 Mar
Santarem
2 : 1 GD Fontinhas
18 Feb
GD Peniche
1 : 1 GD Fontinhas
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santarem | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 52:23 | 55 |
| 2 | SC Lusitania | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:22 | 51 |
| 3 | Marinhense | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 43:26 | 50 |
| 4 | Alverca B | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 34:19 | 39 |
| 5 | Uniao de Coimbra | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 30:26 | 38 |
| 6 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:29 | 37 |
| 7 | GD Peniche | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 28:39 | 37 |
| 8 | Sertanense | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 26:25 | 37 |
| 9 | Mortagua FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 30:36 | 37 |
| 10 | GD Fontinhas | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 23:32 | 32 |
| 11 | CD Rabo Peixe | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:34 | 28 |
| 12 | Vitoria Sernache | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 17:30 | 25 |
| 13 | CD Gouveia | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 35:48 | 21 |
| 14 | Tomar | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 20:53 | 17 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)
