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Sertanense vs Uniao de Coimbra Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Traquina J.
45' Event
Nuno Andre
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 game between Sertanense and Uniao de Coimbra finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uniao de Coimbra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Sertanense
35%
Draws
52%
Uniao de Coimbra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Uniao de Coimbra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Sertanense haven't matched Uniao de Coimbra's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Uniao de Coimbra taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Uniao de Coimbra have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Sertanense Clean Sheet 22%
Uniao de Coimbra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sertanense Uniao de Coimbra
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 12 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.85 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Sertanense vs Uniao de Coimbra
0:2
Sep 1, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao de Coimbra vs Sertanense
3:2
Feb 10, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Sertanense vs Uniao de Coimbra
0:1
Oct 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao de Coimbra vs Sertanense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sertanense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Uniao de Coimbra Compare

Top Goalscorer Traquina J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sertanense 29 / 100
Uniao de Coimbra 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sertanense Uniao de Coimbra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao de Coimbra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Uniao de Coimbra conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Sertanense found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (33 games).

Solid form: Sertanense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sertanense VS Uniao de Coimbra
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sertanense

(Home)
27 Sept
O Elvas CAD
2 : 0
Sertanense
13 Sept
Sertanense
1 : 1
Malveira
30 Aug
Alcains
1 : 0
Sertanense
23 Aug
Sertanense
1 : 3
Mortagua FC
16 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 1
Sertanense
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Uniao de Coimbra

(Away)
13 Apr
GD Peniche
0 : 2
Uniao de Coimbra
06 Apr
Uniao de Coimbra
0 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
29 Mar
Alcains
0 : 1
Uniao de Coimbra
16 Mar
Uniao de Coimbra
1 : 1
Os Marialvas
09 Mar
Mortagua FC
2 : 2
Uniao de Coimbra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Elvas CAD 26 20 5 1 41:10 65
2 Fatima 26 14 7 5 30:12 49
3 Arronches Benfica 26 13 9 4 27:17 48
4 GD Peniche 26 10 9 7 31:23 39
5 Os Marialvas 26 9 10 7 30:28 37
6 Mortagua FC 26 8 13 5 23:21 37
7 Marinhense 26 9 9 8 24:21 36
8 Alverca B 26 9 8 9 28:25 35
9 SB Castelo Branco 26 8 10 8 23:21 34
10 SC Pombal 26 8 8 10 29:34 32
11 Uniao de Coimbra 26 6 7 13 26:44 25
12 Sertanense 26 4 9 13 23:33 21
13 Alcains 26 4 6 16 17:36 18
14 Pero Pinheiro 26 2 6 18 12:39 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)