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Sertaozinho U20 vs Ferroviaria U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
54' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Sertaozinho U20
35%
Draws
41%
Ferroviaria U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ferroviaria U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Sertaozinho U20 haven't matched Ferroviaria U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ferroviaria U20 a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Sertaozinho U20 Clean Sheet 22%
Ferroviaria U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sertaozinho U20 Ferroviaria U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.8 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Paulista U20
Sertaozinho U20 vs Ferroviaria U20
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sertaozinho U20 24 / 100
Ferroviaria U20 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sertaozinho U20 Ferroviaria U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviaria U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sertaozinho U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sertaozinho U20 scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Ferroviaria U20 conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sertaozinho U20 VS Ferroviaria U20
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sertaozinho U20

(Home)
25 Sept
Santo Andre U20
3 : 0
Sertaozinho U20
19 Sept
Sertaozinho U20
1 : 1
Santo Andre U20
12 Sept
Portuguesa U20
2 : 2
Sertaozinho U20
05 Sept
Sertaozinho U20
1 : 1
Ferroviaria U20
21 Aug
Ponte Preta U20
1 : 3
Sertaozinho U20
Page 1 of 6

Ferroviaria U20

(Away)
26 Sept
Ferroviaria U20
2 : 1
Flamengo SP U20
18 Sept
Flamengo SP U20
2 : 0
Ferroviaria U20
12 Sept
Ferroviaria U20
5 : 0
Sao Bento U20
05 Sept
Sertaozinho U20
1 : 1
Ferroviaria U20
21 Aug
Ferroviaria U20
2 : 0
Jabaquara U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)