Sport Picks
Match Events
33'
33'
Marcio Vitor
81'
81'
Diogo Antonio
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-2, with Palmeiras U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Palmeiras U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Palmeiras U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Palmeiras U20, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Palmeiras U20 here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sertaozinho U20 Clean Sheet 11%
Palmeiras U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sertaozinho U20 | Palmeiras U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 35 |
| Wins | 7 | 23 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 3.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 3.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2025 Paulista U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Sertaozinho U20
2:0
Sep 6, 2025 Paulista U20
Sertaozinho U20 vs Palmeiras U20
0:2
Aug 6, 2025 Paulista U20
Sertaozinho U20 vs Palmeiras U20
0:3
Jan 12, 2020 Copinha
Sertaozinho U20 vs Palmeiras U20
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sertaozinho U20 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
Palmeiras U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Marcio Vitor
1 Goals Assists Leader Diogo Antonio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sertaozinho U20 30 / 100
Palmeiras U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sertaozinho U20 Palmeiras U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Palmeiras U20 let in goals in 60% of their last 35 matches.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Sertaozinho U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Sertaozinho U20 scored in 46% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sertaozinho U20 VS Palmeiras U20
0.5 Goals Scored 3.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
33% Over 1.5 75%
17% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sertaozinho U20
(Home) 16 Jul
CA Juventus U20
1 : 1 Sertaozinho U20
11 Jul
Sertaozinho U20
2 : 1 Itapirense U20
05 Jul
Corinthians U20
1 : 0 Sertaozinho U20
27 Jun
Sertaozinho U20
0 : 0 Sao Bento U20
12 Jun
Uniao Suzano U20
0 : 1 Sertaozinho U20
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11 Jul
Sertaozinho U20
2 : 1 Itapirense U20
27 Jun
Sertaozinho U20
0 : 0 Sao Bento U20
30 May
Sertaozinho U20
0 : 3 Santos U20
06 Sept
Sertaozinho U20
0 : 2 Palmeiras U20
06 Aug
Sertaozinho U20
0 : 3 Palmeiras U20
Page 1 of 3
Palmeiras U20
(Away) 23 Jul
Bragantino U20
3 : 3 Palmeiras U20
19 Jul
Flamengo SP U20
1 : 1 Palmeiras U20
16 Jul
Palmeiras U20
3 : 1 Corinthians U20
11 Jul
Palmeiras U20
2 : 2 Capivariano U20
08 Jul
Corinthians U20
0 : 1 Palmeiras U20
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23 Jul
Bragantino U20
3 : 3 Palmeiras U20
19 Jul
Flamengo SP U20
1 : 1 Palmeiras U20
08 Jul
Corinthians U20
0 : 1 Palmeiras U20
05 Jul
Porto Football U20
0 : 1 Palmeiras U20
25 Jun
Fluminense U20
0 : 3 Palmeiras U20
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Palmeiras U204
Sertaozinho U200
Portuguesa U201
Referencia U202
Bragantino U209
Itapirense U202
Novorizontino U201
Botafogo SP U205
EC Sao Bernardo U202
Internacional de Limeira U201
Uniao Suzano U205
XV de Jau U204
Santos U205
Portuguesa Santista U201
Corinthians U204
Piracicaba U201
Sao Paulo U204
Maua FC U202
Santo Andre U203
Osasco Sporting U206
Ibrachina U2010
Osasco Audax U200
Ferroviaria U206
Mirassol U204
Guarani U203
Desportivo U200
CA Juventus U200
Gremio Prudente U203
Ituano U204
Sao Caetano U200
Ponte Preta U201
Capivariano U200
1/8-finals
Palmeiras U205
Referencia U200
Bragantino U201
Botafogo SP U204
EC Sao Bernardo U203
Uniao Suzano U202
Santos U203
Corinthians U201
Sao Paulo U204
Osasco Sporting U202
Ibrachina U200
Ferroviaria U201
Guarani U205
Gremio Prudente U202
Ituano U202
Ponte Preta U203
Quarter-finals
Palmeiras U204
Botafogo SP U201
EC Sao Bernardo U201
Santos U207
Sao Paulo U202
Ferroviaria U200
Guarani U203
Ponte Preta U200
Semi-finals
Palmeiras U204
Santos U205
Sao Paulo U204
Guarani U201
Final
Santos U205
Sao Paulo U204