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Sertaozinho U20 vs Santos U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Padula
31' Event
Soares Y.
54'
Bolivia

AI Match Summary

Santos U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santos U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Sertaozinho U20
30%
Draws
50%
Santos U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santos U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santos U20 lately — more wins on the board than Sertaozinho U20.
  • Model gives Santos U20 a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Santos U20 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Sertaozinho U20 Clean Sheet 13%
Santos U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sertaozinho U20 Santos U20
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 20
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.8 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Paulista U20
Sertaozinho U20 vs Santos U20
0:3
Sep 14, 2024 Paulista U20
Santos U20 vs Sertaozinho U20
4:0
Aug 17, 2024 Paulista U20
Sertaozinho U20 vs Santos U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sertaozinho U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Santos U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Padula
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soares Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sertaozinho U20 10 / 100
Santos U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sertaozinho U20 Santos U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Sertaozinho U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sertaozinho U20's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Santos U20 conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sertaozinho U20 VS Santos U20
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sertaozinho U20

(Home)
25 Sept
Santo Andre U20
3 : 0
Sertaozinho U20
19 Sept
Sertaozinho U20
1 : 1
Santo Andre U20
12 Sept
Portuguesa U20
2 : 2
Sertaozinho U20
05 Sept
Sertaozinho U20
1 : 1
Ferroviaria U20
21 Aug
Ponte Preta U20
1 : 3
Sertaozinho U20
Page 1 of 6

Santos U20

(Away)
25 Sept
Santos U20
2 : 0
Jabaquara U20
21 Sept
Jabaquara U20
1 : 4
Santos U20
12 Sept
Santos U20
2 : 0
Mirassol U20
10 Sept
Santos U20
2 : 1
Cuiaba U20
04 Sept
Portuguesa Santista U20
0 : 1
Santos U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)