Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Servette W vs Aarau W

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Women 2025/2026 Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Simonsson T.
32' Event
Sobal M.
37'
Rita Almeida

AI Match Summary

Servette W in this Super League Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Servette W
20%
Draws
6%
Aarau W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Servette W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Aarau W haven't matched Servette W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Servette W a 74% chance of winning this.
  • Servette W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Servette W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Servette W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Servette W Clean Sheet 68%
Aarau W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Servette W Aarau W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 25 2
Draws 1 6
Losses 4 22
Goals Scored 2.37 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.7 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.04 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Super League Women
Servette W vs Aarau W
3:0
May 1, 2026 Super League Women
Servette W vs Aarau W
4:0
Apr 25, 2026 Super League Women
Aarau W vs Servette W
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 Super League Women
Aarau W vs Servette W
0:3
Sep 24, 2025 Super League Women
Servette W vs Aarau W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Servette W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sobal M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Simonsson T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.34
Avg xA / game 1.52

Aarau W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Servette W 95 / 100
Aarau W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Servette W Aarau W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Servette W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Servette W scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Aarau W conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Servette W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Servette W VS Aarau W
2.5 Goals Scored 0.71
1 Goals Conceded 3.57
100% Over 1.5 86%
88% Over 2.5 86%
38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Servette W

(Home)
18 Sept
Servette W
0 : 0
Zurich W
12 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona W
1 : 2
Servette W
09 Sept
Servette W
3 : 2
Yverdon W
06 Sept
Grasshopper W
1 : 3
Servette W
02 Sept
Servette W
3 : 0
Sparta Prague W
Page 1 of 6

Aarau W

(Away)
19 Sept
Aarau W
1 : 2
Young Boys W
13 Sept
Yverdon W
4 : 1
Aarau W
09 Sept
St. Gallen W
2 : 2
Aarau W
05 Sept
Aarau W
0 : 1
Luzern W
29 Aug
Aarau W
0 : 8
Zurich W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Servette W 6
Aarau W 1
Grasshopper W 0
Zurich W 2
Young Boys W 5
Rapperswil-Jona W 1
Basel W 0
St. Gallen W 4
Semi-finals
Servette W 6
Zurich W 0
Young Boys W 4
St. Gallen W 1
Final
Servette W 4
Young Boys W 1