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Sestao vs Arosa SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
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Match Events

44' Event
Miguelez P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 game between Sestao and Arosa SC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sestao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Sestao
20%
Draws
28%
Arosa SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sestao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Arosa SC haven't matched Sestao's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Sestao Clean Sheet 68%
Arosa SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sestao Arosa SC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 8 10
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1.48 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Sestao vs Arosa SC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sestao 41 / 100
Arosa SC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sestao Arosa SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sestao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Sestao stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sestao scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Arosa SC has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sestao VS Arosa SC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sestao

(Home)
01 Nov
Coruxo FC
0 : 2
Sestao
27 Oct
Sestao
4 : 3
Espanyol
24 Oct
Sestao
1 : 0
Arosa SC
18 Oct
Marino De Luanco
0 : 1
Sestao
14 Oct
Sestao
3 : 1
Salamanca CF UDS
Page 1 of 6

Arosa SC

(Away)
01 Nov
Portugalete
3 : 3
Arosa SC
27 Oct
Arosa SC
2 : 0
Pontevedra
24 Oct
Sestao
1 : 0
Arosa SC
18 Oct
Arosa SC
4 : 1
Llanera
11 Oct
Arosa SC
2 : 2
Bergantinos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sestao 9 7 1 1 11:3 22
2 Alaves B 9 6 2 1 23:12 20
3 Bergantinos 9 5 3 1 20:11 18
4 Eibar B 9 5 2 2 15:8 17
5 Amorebieta 9 5 1 3 11:8 16
6 Compostela 9 4 2 3 11:8 14
7 Ourense CF 9 4 2 3 9:9 14
8 Real Oviedo B 9 4 2 3 12:15 14
9 Portugalete 9 3 4 2 12:12 13
10 Gernika Club 9 2 5 2 15:9 11
11 Basconia 9 2 5 2 13:14 11
12 Coruxo FC 9 2 2 5 8:12 8
13 Arosa SC 9 1 5 3 15:20 8
14 Rayo Cantabria 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
15 Marino De Luanco 9 2 2 5 8:13 8
16 Atletico Astorga 9 2 1 6 11:14 7
17 Llanera 9 2 1 6 12:21 7
18 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 9 1 2 6 7:19 5
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)