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Sestao vs Atletico Astorga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Laka A. B.
72' Event
Delgado E.
(Penalty)
80'
Calvo A.

AI Match Summary

Sestao in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sestao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Sestao
15%
Draws
17%
Atletico Astorga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sestao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Atletico Astorga average 1.31 goals a game right now, well clear of Sestao's 1.26.
  • Win probability leans Sestao's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Sestao Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Astorga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sestao Atletico Astorga
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.26 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Sestao vs Atletico Astorga
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sestao Compare

Top Goalscorer Laka A. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Atletico Astorga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sestao 86 / 100
Atletico Astorga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sestao Atletico Astorga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sestao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sestao scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Atletico Astorga has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Sestao remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sestao VS Atletico Astorga
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sestao

(Home)
04 Oct
Gernika Club
1 : 2
Sestao
30 Sept
Sestao
4 : 1
Terrassa
26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
20 Sept
Compostela
2 : 0
Sestao
16 Sept
Comillas CF
1 : 2
Sestao
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Astorga

(Away)
03 Oct
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Amorebieta
26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0
Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2
Atletico Astorga
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Portugalete
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Eibar B 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
3 Alaves B 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
4 Sestao 5 4 0 1 7:3 12
5 Ourense CF 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
6 Gernika Club 5 2 2 1 12:5 8
7 Basconia 5 2 2 1 9:8 8
8 Amorebieta 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Portugalete 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Real Oviedo B 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
11 Marino De Luanco 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Coruxo FC 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Compostela 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
14 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Llanera 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 Atletico Astorga 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
17 Arosa SC 5 0 3 2 6:13 3
18 Rayo Cantabria 5 0 1 4 3:11 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)