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Stadium Background

Sestao vs Espanyol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Copa del Rey Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa del Rey. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Sestao at 1.25 goals for, 0.96 against; Espanyol at 1.41 for, 1.52 against. Head-to-head, Sestao have won 0 to Espanyol's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 6, 1990, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 0.88, favoring Sestao. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Sestao
20%
Draws
24%
Espanyol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sestao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sestao come out ahead of Espanyol on wins alone.
  • Sestao are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Sestao have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sestao Clean Sheet 20%
Espanyol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sestao Espanyol
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 10 11
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 1990 LaLiga2
Sestao vs Espanyol
2:2
Dec 17, 1989 LaLiga2
Espanyol vs Sestao
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sestao 67 / 100
Espanyol 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sestao Espanyol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sestao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sestao scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Espanyol let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sestao stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sestao VS Espanyol
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sestao

(Home)
04 Oct
Gernika Club
1 : 2
Sestao
30 Sept
Sestao
4 : 1
Terrassa
26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
20 Sept
Compostela
2 : 0
Sestao
16 Sept
Comillas CF
1 : 2
Sestao
Page 1 of 6

Espanyol

(Away)
09 Oct
Malaga
1 : 1
Espanyol
18 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 3
Elche
15 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1
Espanyol
12 Sept
Osasuna
0 : 2
Espanyol
06 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 1
Sevilla
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Ribadesella CF 2
SD Noja 1
TBD -
Racing Santander -
Auriense 2
CD San Jose 1
TBD -
Dep. A Coruna -
Salamanca CF UDS -
TBD -
TBD -
Celta Vigo -
Covadonga -
TBD -
TBD -
Valladolid -
Guijuelo -
TBD -
TBD -
Gijon -
CD Laredo -
TBD -
TBD -
Burgos CF -
Numancia -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Oviedo -
Llanera -
TBD -
TBD -
Ponferradina -
Arosa SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Pontevedra -
Atletico Tordesillas -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirandes -
Gimnastica Segoviana -
TBD -
TBD -
Leonesa -
Coruxo FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Zamora -
Real Avila -
TBD -
TBD -
Unionistas de Salamanca -
Gimnastic de Torrelavega -
TBD -
TBD -
UD Ourense -
Atletico Calatayud 4
CD Baztan 1
TBD -
Osasuna -
Anaitasuna FT 10
CD Tedeon 2
TBD -
Alaves -
El Espinar Sant Rafel 1
Prat 5
TBD -
Ath Bilbao -
Sestao -
TBD -
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Espanyol -
Varea -
TBD -
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FC Andorra -
CD Cuarte -
TBD -
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Girona -
Pamplona -
TBD -
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Eibar -
Utebo FC -
TBD -
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Sabadell -
Pena -
TBD -
TBD -
Huesca -
Tudelano -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaragoza -
CE Manresa -
TBD -
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Sant Andreu -
Calamocha -
TBD -
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CE Europa -
Reus FC Reddis -
TBD -
TBD -
Barakaldo -
Amorebieta -
TBD -
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UD Logrones -
Portugalete -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Union -
Maracena 1
Tavernes 2
TBD -
Valencia -
Pinatar 11
Atletico Melilla 0
TBD -
Elche -
Talayuela 1
Sporting de Alcazar CF 3
TBD -
Malaga -
CD Tarancon -
TBD -
TBD -
Levante -
Manacor -
TBD -
TBD -
Villarreal -
Castellonense -
TBD -
TBD -
Almeria -
Alcoyano -
TBD -
TBD -
Mallorca -
Conquense -
TBD -
TBD -
Castellon -
UD Poblense -
TBD -
TBD -
AD Ceuta -
Puertollano C.F. -
TBD -
TBD -
Albacete -
Ciudad Cieza -
TBD -
TBD -
Granada CF -
Baleares -
TBD -
TBD -
Eldense -
Deportiva Minera -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Cartagena SAD -
Mijas Las Lagunas -
TBD -
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Jaen -
Antequera -
TBD -
TBD -
Aguilas FC -
Lebrijana 7
Ceuta 6 de Junio 1
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Getafe -
Hortaleza 1
Atletico Union Guimar 0
TBD -
Sevilla -
Recreativo Huelva -
TBD -
TBD -
Rayo Vallecano -
Navalcarnero -
TBD -
TBD -
Betis -
Trival Valderas -
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TBD -
Leganes -
RSD Alcala -
TBD -
TBD -
Las Palmas -
CD Badajoz -
TBD -
TBD -
Tenerife -
Xerez CD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cadiz -
Atletico Paso -
TBD -
TBD -
Cordoba -
San Sebastian Reyes -
TBD -
TBD -
CD Coria -
Don Benito -
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CD Extremadura -
Ciudad de Lucena -
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Rayo Majadahonda -
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1/64-finals
Ribadesella CF -
Racing Santander -
Auriense -
Dep. A Coruna -
Salamanca CF UDS -
Celta Vigo -
Covadonga -
Valladolid -
Guijuelo -
Gijon -
CD Laredo -
Burgos CF -
Numancia -
Real Oviedo -
Llanera -
Ponferradina -
Arosa SC -
Pontevedra -
Atletico Tordesillas -
Mirandes -
Gimnastica Segoviana -
Leonesa -
Coruxo FC -
Zamora -
Real Avila -
Unionistas de Salamanca -
Gimnastic de Torrelavega -
UD Ourense -
Atletico Calatayud -
Osasuna -
Anaitasuna FT -
Alaves -
TBD -
Ath Bilbao -
Sestao -
Espanyol -
Varea -
FC Andorra -
CD Cuarte -
Girona -
Pamplona -
Eibar -
Utebo FC -
Sabadell -
Pena -
Huesca -
Tudelano -
Zaragoza -
CE Manresa -
Sant Andreu -
Calamocha -
CE Europa -
Reus FC Reddis -
Barakaldo -
Amorebieta -
UD Logrones -
Portugalete -
Real Union -
Tavernes -
Valencia -
Pinatar -
Elche -
Sporting de Alcazar CF -
Malaga -
CD Tarancon -
Levante -
Manacor -
Villarreal -
Castellonense -
Almeria -
Alcoyano -
Mallorca -
Conquense -
Castellon -
UD Poblense -
AD Ceuta -
Puertollano C.F. -
Albacete -
Ciudad Cieza -
Granada CF -
Baleares -
Eldense -
Deportiva Minera -
FC Cartagena SAD -
Mijas Las Lagunas -
Jaen -
Antequera -
Aguilas FC -
Lebrijana -
Getafe -
TBD -
Sevilla -
Recreativo Huelva -
Rayo Vallecano -
Navalcarnero -
Betis -
Trival Valderas -
Leganes -
RSD Alcala -
Las Palmas -
CD Badajoz -
Tenerife -
Xerez CD -
Cadiz -
Atletico Paso -
Cordoba -
San Sebastian Reyes -
CD Coria -
Don Benito -
CD Extremadura -
Ciudad de Lucena -
Rayo Majadahonda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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1/32-finals
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1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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