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Sestao vs Real Oviedo B

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Zorrilla G.
71' Event
Ugarte A.

AI Match Summary

Sestao in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sestao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Sestao
15%
Draws
31%
Real Oviedo B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sestao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Oviedo B lately — more wins on the board than Sestao.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Sestao Clean Sheet 15%
Real Oviedo B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sestao Real Oviedo B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Sestao vs Real Oviedo B
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sestao Compare

Top Goalscorer Zorrilla G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ugarte A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Real Oviedo B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sestao 35 / 100
Real Oviedo B 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sestao Real Oviedo B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Oviedo B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sestao found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Real Oviedo B let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Sestao has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sestao VS Real Oviedo B
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sestao

(Home)
04 Oct
Gernika Club
1 : 2
Sestao
30 Sept
Sestao
4 : 1
Terrassa
26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
20 Sept
Compostela
2 : 0
Sestao
16 Sept
Comillas CF
1 : 2
Sestao
Page 1 of 6

Real Oviedo B

(Away)
04 Oct
Compostela
1 : 2
Real Oviedo B
27 Sept
Real Oviedo B
3 : 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
20 Sept
Alaves B
3 : 1
Real Oviedo B
13 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Real Oviedo B
05 Sept
Real Oviedo B
2 : 1
Eibar B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Eibar B 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
3 Alaves B 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
4 Sestao 5 4 0 1 7:3 12
5 Ourense CF 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
6 Gernika Club 5 2 2 1 12:5 8
7 Basconia 5 2 2 1 9:8 8
8 Amorebieta 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Portugalete 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Real Oviedo B 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
11 Marino De Luanco 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Coruxo FC 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Compostela 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
14 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Llanera 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 Atletico Astorga 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
17 Arosa SC 5 0 3 2 6:13 3
18 Rayo Cantabria 5 0 1 4 3:11 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)