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Sestri Levante vs Sanremese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 Giuseppe Sivori, Sestri Levante
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Garcia F.
79' Event
Moreo R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between Sestri Levante and Sanremese finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sanremese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sestri Levante
30%
Draws
37%
Sanremese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sanremese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sanremese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sestri Levante are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 16%
Sanremese Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sestri Levante Sanremese
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.39 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.12 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Sanremese
0:2
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Sestri Levante
1:2
Jan 8, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Sestri Levante
1:0
Sep 4, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Sanremese
1:2
May 1, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Sestri Levante
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sestri Levante Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sanremese Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sestri Levante 41 / 100
Sanremese 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sestri Levante Sanremese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sestri Levante found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Sestri Levante went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sanremese has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sestri Levante VS Sanremese
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sestri Levante

(Home)
20 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1
Sestri Levante
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Fezzanese
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1
Sestri Levante
06 Sept
Sestri Levante
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
19 Aug
Sampdoria U20
1 : 4
Sestri Levante
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Sanremese

(Away)
20 Sept
Sanremese
2 : 2
Saluzzo
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
13 Aug
Reggina
1 : 2
Sanremese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)