Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group A Giuseppe Sivori

Sanremese

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sestri Levante play Sanremese in the Serie D - Group A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sestri Levante averaged 1.43 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Sanremese averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, Sestri Levante won 1, Sanremese won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Sestri Levante and 1.25 for Sanremese. This points to a Sanremese double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Sestri Levante

24%

Draws

38%

Sanremese

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Sanremese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Sestri Levante picked up more points recently compared to Sanremese.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 40%

Over 3.5 Goals 24%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 19%

Sanremese Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sestri Levante	Sanremese
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	13
Draws	8	7
Losses	9	10
Goals Scored	1.43	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.97	0.83
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group A

Sestri Levante vs Sanremese

Possession: 54% - 51% Cards: 3 - 0

0:2

Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group A

Sanremese vs Sestri Levante

Possession: 40% - 44% Cards: 1 - 4

1:2

Jan 8, 2023 Serie D - Group A

Sanremese vs Sestri Levante

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

Sep 4, 2022 Serie D - Group A

Sestri Levante vs Sanremese

Possession: 48% - 41% Cards: 0 - 3

1:2

May 1, 2022 Serie D - Group A

Sanremese vs Sestri Levante

Possession: 54% - 54% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sestri Levante Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sanremese Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Moreo R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sestri Levante 38 / 100

Sanremese 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sestri Levante Sanremese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sanremese or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.6%

2.94

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sestri Levante attacking → ← attacking Sanremese

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sestri Levante scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Sanremese let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Sestri Levante went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sanremese lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 46

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vado	34	24	6	4	69:24	78
2	Ligorna	34	21	9	4	64:26	72
3	AS Biellese	34	16	9	9	48:29	57
4	Varese FC	34	16	8	10	43:43	56
5	Chisola	34	16	7	11	44:36	55
6	Sestri Levante	34	15	9	10	54:34	54
7	Sanremese	34	13	10	11	37:30	49
8	Valenzana	34	12	9	13	33:48	45
9	Celle Varazze	34	12	8	14	41:47	44
10	Saluzzo	34	11	10	13	48:44	43
11	Club Milano	34	12	6	16	43:49	42
12	Imperia Calcio	34	10	11	13	36:44	41
13	Cairese	34	9	13	12	29:34	40
14	Derthona FbC	34	11	7	16	36:46	40
15	Gozzano	34	9	12	13	37:42	39
16	Asti Calcio	34	8	11	15	32:42	35
17	Lavagnese	34	5	12	17	32:52	27
18	NovaRomentin	34	6	3	25	26:82	16