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Sestri Levante vs Stresa Vergante

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Marquez F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 game between Sestri Levante and Stresa Vergante finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sestri Levante.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sestri Levante
30%
Draws
34%
Stresa Vergante
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sestri Levante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sestri Levante come out ahead of Stresa Vergante on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sestri Levante's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Sestri Levante have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 20%
Stresa Vergante Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sestri Levante Stresa Vergante
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Stresa Vergante
1:0
Dec 4, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Stresa Vergante vs Sestri Levante
1:2
Mar 3, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Stresa Vergante
2:0
Nov 10, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Stresa Vergante vs Sestri Levante
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sestri Levante 36 / 100
Stresa Vergante 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sestri Levante Stresa Vergante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sestri Levante found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Stresa Vergante conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Sestri Levante stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sestri Levante VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sestri Levante

(Home)
03 May
Sestri Levante
0 : 2
Sanremese
26 Apr
Celle Varazze
1 : 0
Sestri Levante
19 Apr
Sestri Levante
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
12 Apr
AS Biellese
2 : 0
Sestri Levante
02 Apr
Sestri Levante
5 : 2
NovaRomentin
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Stresa Vergante

(Away)
07 May
Stresa Vergante
0 : 0
Sanremese
30 Apr
Castanese
1 : 1
Stresa Vergante
23 Apr
Stresa Vergante
1 : 0
Legnano
16 Apr
Sestri Levante
1 : 0
Stresa Vergante
06 Apr
Stresa Vergante
1 : 1
Bra
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sestri Levante38304477:2994
2Sanremese382111659:3374
3Bra382111659:3174
4Vado381912761:4069
5Ligorna381715650:3666
6Legnano381791253:3560
7Asti Calcio381318744:3557
8Gozzano381671551:4855
9Borgosesia Calcio3814101454:5452
10PDHA3812111533:4347
11Castellanzese3811131451:5546
12AC Chieri3810151341:4545
13Fezzanese3811121547:5845
14Chisola3811101743:5343
15Pinerolo388181238:4442
16Derthona FbC389151455:6242
17Castanese389121743:5739
18Stresa Vergante387131837:4734
19Casale38592428:7924
20Fossano381112640:8014
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)