Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sesvete vs Karlovac

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL Stadion ŠRC Sesvete, Sesvete
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Utrobicic A.
48'
Barnabas M.
53' Event
Akanni S.

AI Match Summary

The Prva NL game between Sesvete and Karlovac finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sesvete.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sesvete
15%
Draws
46%
Karlovac
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karlovac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Sesvete carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sesvete have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sesvete Clean Sheet 17%
Karlovac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sesvete Karlovac
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 16 12
Draws 2 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.52 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.51
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.37
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Prva NL
Sesvete vs Karlovac
3:0
Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Karlovac vs Sesvete
0:0
May 1, 2026 Prva NL
Sesvete vs Karlovac
3:0
Feb 27, 2026 Prva NL
Sesvete vs Karlovac
3:0
Oct 3, 2025 Prva NL
Karlovac vs Sesvete
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sesvete Compare

Top Goalscorer Akanni S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gasparac M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Karlovac Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sesvete 31 / 100
Karlovac 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sesvete Karlovac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sesvete scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Karlovac let in goals in 86% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sesvete went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sesvete VS Karlovac
1.29 Goals Scored 1.88
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sesvete

(Home)
18 Sept
Sesvete
1 : 2
Cibalia
11 Sept
Dinamo Zagreb 2
1 : 2
Sesvete
05 Sept
Sesvete
2 : 0
Segesta
02 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 0
Sesvete
28 Aug
Sesvete
1 : 2
Dugopolje
Page 1 of 6

Karlovac

(Away)
20 Sept
Karlovac
0 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
15 Sept
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Karlovac
12 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 0
Karlovac
06 Sept
Karlovac
3 : 1
Hrvace
02 Sept
Dugopolje
2 : 2
Karlovac
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
2 Bijelo Brdo 7 4 1 2 8:6 13
3 Mladost Zdralovi 7 3 2 2 6:6 11
4 Croatia Zmijavci 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
5 Cibalia 6 2 4 0 6:4 10
6 Segesta 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Sesvete 6 3 0 3 9:6 9
8 Dugopolje 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
9 Dinamo Zagreb 2 7 3 0 4 11:11 9
10 Dubrava Zagreb 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
11 Vukovar 1991 6 2 2 2 11:13 8
12 Orijent 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
13 Karlovac 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
14 Hrvace 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
15 Kustosija 7 1 3 3 3:5 6
16 Opatija 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
Promotion - HNL 2027/2028 (Main)