Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sesvete vs Karlovac

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL 2025/2026 Stadion ŠRC Sesvete, Sesvete
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Saranic I.
(Penalty)
21' Event
Kardum B.
45' Event
Saranic I.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Sesvete in this Prva NL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sesvete.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Sesvete
15%
Draws
53%
Karlovac
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karlovac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Sesvete have won more games recently than Karlovac.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Prva NL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sesvete here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sesvete Clean Sheet 18%
Karlovac Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sesvete Karlovac
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Prva NL
Sesvete vs Karlovac
3:0
Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Karlovac vs Sesvete
0:0
May 1, 2026 Prva NL
Sesvete vs Karlovac
3:0
Feb 27, 2026 Prva NL
Sesvete vs Karlovac
3:0
Oct 3, 2025 Prva NL
Karlovac vs Sesvete
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sesvete Compare

Top Goalscorer Kardum B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Karlovac Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sesvete 32 / 100
Karlovac 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sesvete Karlovac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlovac Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sesvete scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Karlovac has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sesvete has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sesvete VS Karlovac
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sesvete

(Home)
05 Sept
Sesvete
2 : 0
Segesta
02 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 0
Sesvete
28 Aug
Sesvete
1 : 2
Dugopolje
21 Aug
Sesvete
3 : 0
Karlovac
25 Jul
Slaven Belupo
4 : 0
Sesvete
Page 1 of 6

Karlovac

(Away)
06 Sept
Karlovac
3 : 1
Hrvace
02 Sept
Dugopolje
2 : 2
Karlovac
29 Aug
Karlovac
2 : 1
Opatija
26 Aug
Tigar Sveta Nedelja
1 : 4
Karlovac
21 Aug
Sesvete
3 : 0
Karlovac
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rudes 33 19 8 6 49:29 65
2 Cibalia 33 17 7 9 51:33 58
3 Sesvete 33 16 9 8 42:28 57
4 Dugopolje 33 16 6 11 40:38 54
5 Dubrava Zagreb 33 13 8 12 39:46 47
6 Bijelo Brdo 33 11 9 13 30:30 42
7 Karlovac 33 13 3 17 40:45 42
8 Opatija 33 10 10 13 31:38 40
9 Orijent 33 9 11 13 40:41 38
10 Hrvace 33 10 6 17 36:48 36
11 Croatia Zmijavci 33 9 8 16 32:46 35
12 Jarun 33 8 9 16 34:42 33
Relegation - Druga NL (Main)
Promotion - HNL (Main)