Sport Picks

Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2022

Santa Fe PE

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sete de Setembro (PE) play Santa Fe PE in the Pernambucano 2 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sete de Setembro (PE) averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. Santa Fe PE averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Sete de Setembro (PE) won 1, Santa Fe PE won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 29, 2022 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.46 for Sete de Setembro (PE) and 1.39 for Santa Fe PE. This points to a Sete de Setembro (PE) double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%

Sete de Setembro (PE)

26%

Draws

20%

Santa Fe PE

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Sete de Setembro (PE)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Sete de Setembro (PE) picked up more points recently compared to Santa Fe PE.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.46 vs 1.39 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Sete de Setembro (PE) Clean Sheet 17%

Santa Fe PE Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sete de Setembro (PE)	Santa Fe PE
Matches Played	30	5
Wins	4	0
Draws	7	2
Losses	19	3
Goals Scored	0.67	0.4
Goals Conceded	2.23	1.8
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	1.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2022 Pernambucano 2

Sete de Setembro (PE) vs Santa Fe PE

Possession: 40% - 59% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sete de Setembro (PE) 52 / 100

Santa Fe PE 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sete de Setembro (PE) Santa Fe PE

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sete de Setembro (PE) Win (1)

Secondary Pick Sete de Setembro (PE) & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.2%

2.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sete de Setembro (PE) attacking → ← attacking Santa Fe PE

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sete de Setembro (PE) scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Santa Fe PE let in goals in 100% of their last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sete de Setembro (PE) went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Santa Fe PE lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 2

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.40

2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.80

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo Arcoverde	5	4	0	1	11:3	12
2	Decisao	5	2	3	0	5:3	9
3	Petrolina	5	2	2	1	12:3	8
4	1º de Maio	5	1	3	1	3:3	6
5	Pesqueira	5	1	2	2	8:5	5
6	Serrano PE	5	0	0	5	1:23	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Central SC	5	4	0	1	7:1	12
2	Maguary	5	3	1	1	7:3	10
3	Ypiranga	5	2	2	1	4:3	8
4	Belo Jardim	5	1	2	2	3:3	5
5	CA Porto	5	1	2	2	3:4	5
6	Cha Grande	5	0	1	4	0:10	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Torres	5	4	1	0	11:2	13
2	America PE	5	2	2	1	9:9	8
3	Vera Cruz	5	2	1	2	5:3	7
4	Academica Vitoria	5	2	0	3	5:5	6
5	Sete de Setembro (PE)	5	2	0	3	5:9	6
6	Santa Fe PE	5	0	2	3	2:9	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico PE	6	5	1	0	15:4	16
2	Ipojuca	6	5	0	1	14:3	15
3	Ferroviario do Cabo	6	2	3	1	8:5	9
4	Centro Limoeirense	6	2	2	2	11:5	8
5	Jaguar	6	2	0	4	7:17	6
6	Cabense	6	1	2	3	9:12	5
7	Timbauba FC	6	0	0	6	0:18	0