Sport Picks
Sevilla C vs AD Ceuta B Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 
Match Events
8'
8'
Sow B.
14'
14'
Bernal J.
57'
57'
Moreno F.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 game between Sevilla C and AD Ceuta B finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sevilla C.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sevilla C
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- AD Ceuta B's 0.93 goals per match outpaces what Sevilla C have produced (0.91).
- Model gives Sevilla C a 39% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Sevilla C have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Sevilla C Clean Sheet 68%
AD Ceuta B Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sevilla C | AD Ceuta B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.91 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.09 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Sevilla C vs AD Ceuta B
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Sevilla C
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Sevilla C
0:1
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Sevilla C vs AD Ceuta B
2:0
Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Sevilla C vs AD Ceuta B
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sevilla C Compare
Top Goalscorer Sow B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bernal J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
AD Ceuta B Compare
Top Goalscorer Heredia J. P. A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sevilla C 50 / 100
AD Ceuta B 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sevilla C AD Ceuta B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sevilla C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: AD Ceuta B conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Sevilla C went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
AD Ceuta B's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sevilla C VS AD Ceuta B
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sevilla C
(Home) 27 Sept
Sevilla C
0 : 0 Egabrense
20 Sept
Sevilla C
2 : 1 San Roque de Lepe
13 Sept
Sevilla C
2 : 3 Xerez Deportivo FC
06 Sept
Betis C
2 : 0 Sevilla C
10 May
Sevilla C
0 : 0 Atletico Central
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27 Sept
Sevilla C
0 : 0 Egabrense
20 Sept
Sevilla C
2 : 1 San Roque de Lepe
13 Sept
Sevilla C
2 : 3 Xerez Deportivo FC
10 May
Sevilla C
0 : 0 Atletico Central
26 Apr
Sevilla C
1 : 1 Dos Hermanas
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AD Ceuta B
(Away) 26 Sept
AD Ceuta B
0 : 1 Tomares UD
19 Sept
Chiclana
0 : 1 AD Ceuta B
12 Sept
AD Ceuta B
1 : 3 Egabrense
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1 AD Ceuta B
04 Aug
Xerez CD
2 : 0 AD Ceuta B
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Chiclana
0 : 1 AD Ceuta B
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1 AD Ceuta B
04 Aug
Xerez CD
2 : 0 AD Ceuta B
23 May
Dos Hermanas
4 : 2 AD Ceuta B
10 May
San Roque de Lepe
0 : 1 AD Ceuta B
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad de Lucena | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 69:25 | 73 |
| 2 | Dos Hermanas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 69:39 | 60 |
| 3 | Atletico Central | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 36:29 | 55 |
| 4 | Bollullos | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 43:35 | 53 |
| 5 | AD Ceuta B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 38:38 | 52 |
| 6 | Linense | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 45:32 | 52 |
| 7 | Cadiz B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 50:38 | 52 |
| 8 | Conil | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:44 | 52 |
| 9 | Cordoba B | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44:44 | 44 |
| 10 | CD Utrera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:47 | 44 |
| 11 | Pozoblanco | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:44 | 43 |
| 12 | Chiclana | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:45 | 43 |
| 13 | San Roque de Lepe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:39 | 43 |
| 14 | Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36:43 | 40 |
| 15 | Tomares UD | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:46 | 39 |
| 16 | Sevilla C | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 34:41 | 38 |
| 17 | Castilleja CF | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:62 | 27 |
| 18 | Coria C.F. | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 24:59 | 21 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
